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EROCERock, Inc.Sell5.2·$9.00
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ERock screens as cheap (forward P/E 15.7x) with 140.9% upside to the analyst target and a large recent earnings beat, but revenue is down 42%, quality is weak, short interest is reported at 281%, and the $385M market cap is below the $400M investable minimum.

Thesis pillars

  • Declining Revenue Base→Stable
  • Analyst Target Upside→Stable
  • Single Quarter Earnings Beat↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ERock, Inc. (EROC) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.00: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 7.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 281%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.50; Below-average business quality.

ERock, Inc. designs, deploys, sells, operates, and maintains distributed power generation systems designed to provide power for commercial and industrial customers in the United States. Its offerings include the design, installation, and operation of modular power systems, as... Read more

$9.00+113.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#48 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $8.37Analyst target $19.25(−13% haircut)A.R:R 7.6:1
Analyst consensus$22.13+145.8%8 analysts
$19.25Analyst target
$9.00price
$22.13mean
$28

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.00: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 7.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 281%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — ERock, Inc.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:39Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.1
P/E (Fwd)17.7
Mkt Cap$434M
EV/EBITDA-0.9
Profit Mgn-66.7%
ROE—
Rev Growth-41.7%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C4.50bearish
IV125%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -66.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.1
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.3
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.2
Value Rank
5.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
1.4
Volume
1.6
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 7.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
28 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $7.65Resistance $14.39

Price Targets

$8
$19
A.Upside+113.9%
A.R:R7.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EROC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.00: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 7.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 281%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $8.37. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EROC stock price target?

Analyst target: $19.25 (+113.9% upside). Prior stop was $8.37. Stop-loss: $8.37.

What are the risks of investing in EROC?

Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is EROC overvalued or undervalued?

ERock, Inc. trades at a P/E of 32.1 (forward 17.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EROC?

15 analysts cover EROC with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $22.

What does ERock, Inc. do?ERock, Inc. designs, deploys, sells, operates, and maintains distributed power generation systems designed to provide...

ERock, Inc. designs, deploys, sells, operates, and maintains distributed power generation systems designed to provide power for commercial and industrial customers in the United States. Its offerings include the design, installation, and operation of modular power systems, as well as ongoing operations and maintenance and asset management services. Its systems support a range of customer applications, including bridge power, backup power, and dispatchable power solutions. The company primarily serves data centers, utilities, and commercial and industrial customers across the United States. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Houston, Texas.

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