Value
5.1/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 0.0 |
| P/S | 7.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.5 |
| Fwd P/E | 4.8 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 26.2x
EROC · Why this verdict
Why ERock (EROC) is rated DATA_ISSUE
Updated
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VerdictDATA_ISSUE
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Thesis pillars
| Pillar | Expectation | Trend |
|---|---|---|
ERock carries an extraordinarily high short interest of 281% of float, a level the engine flags as a key risk even before considering fundamentals. Key risks | Short interest should decline from this extreme level toward more typical single-digit percentages. | →Stable |
| CounterExtreme short interest levels like 281%, often tied to small float or heavy options-related shorting, can set up a powerful short squeeze rather than confirming bearish fundamentals. | ||
Alpaca and yfinance both failed to return a current price for ERock this run, leaving the engine unable to compute an entry, target, or stop. Warnings | A valid price feed should resume, restoring computable entry, target, and stop levels. | →Stable |
| CounterA data outage is typically transient and driven by data-vendor issues rather than a reflection of the underlying investment case. | ||
ERock shows strong revenue growth of 32% year-over-year, earning it a maximum growth score of 10.0, even as the engine separately flags quality concerns. Growth breakdown | Revenue growth should remain in the double digits while quality metrics improve to match. | →Stable |
| CounterA 32% growth rate combined with flagged quality concerns and an extreme short interest could indicate growth achieved through unsustainable means, such as heavy dilution or unprofitable expansion. | ||
The engine issues two soft warnings: momentum at 5.0 sits just below the 5.5 threshold, and the asymmetry gate flags upside as exhausted at 0%, both computed without current price data. Gates warning | Momentum should climb above 5.5 and modeled upside should turn positive once a valid price feed resumes. | →Stable |
| CounterBoth warnings were generated without valid price data this run, so they may simply reflect stale or placeholder values rather than genuine signals. | ||
ERock carries an extraordinarily high short interest of 281% of float, a level the engine flags as a key risk even before considering fundamentals.
→StableKey risks
- Expectation
- Short interest should decline from this extreme level toward more typical single-digit percentages.
CounterExtreme short interest levels like 281%, often tied to small float or heavy options-related shorting, can set up a powerful short squeeze rather than confirming bearish fundamentals.
Alpaca and yfinance both failed to return a current price for ERock this run, leaving the engine unable to compute an entry, target, or stop.
→StableWarnings
- Expectation
- A valid price feed should resume, restoring computable entry, target, and stop levels.
CounterA data outage is typically transient and driven by data-vendor issues rather than a reflection of the underlying investment case.
ERock shows strong revenue growth of 32% year-over-year, earning it a maximum growth score of 10.0, even as the engine separately flags quality concerns.
→StableGrowth breakdown
- Expectation
- Revenue growth should remain in the double digits while quality metrics improve to match.
CounterA 32% growth rate combined with flagged quality concerns and an extreme short interest could indicate growth achieved through unsustainable means, such as heavy dilution or unprofitable expansion.
The engine issues two soft warnings: momentum at 5.0 sits just below the 5.5 threshold, and the asymmetry gate flags upside as exhausted at 0%, both computed without current price data.
→StableGates warning
- Expectation
- Momentum should climb above 5.5 and modeled upside should turn positive once a valid price feed resumes.
CounterBoth warnings were generated without valid price data this run, so they may simply reflect stale or placeholder values rather than genuine signals.
TrendMatrix Research · core thesis
Engine thesis — one sentence
ERock shows strong revenue growth but carries an extraordinarily high short interest and a missing price feed this run, leaving the setup difficult to evaluate with confidence.
Falsifiable statement — pillar-level invalidators below. Engine-derived; not personalized advice.
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
2.3/10data confidence 86%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 0.3 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 3.7 |
| Moat | 5.5 |
| Piotroski F | 4.4 |
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 32% YoY
Momentum
5.0/10data confidence 50%Sentiment
6.5/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 6.2 |
| Analyst rating | 6.8 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (3.0) — signal dampened
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
4.1/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.6 |
| quality rank | 0.0 |
| growth rank | 8.9 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
5.0/10data confidence 50%Risk (lower is worse)
7.5/10data confidence 40%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| days to cover | 10.0 |
| news risk | 5.0 |
Catalyst
8.0/10data confidence 25%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| news activity | 8.0 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
No current price available — cannot compute entry, target, or stop. Upstream data source (Alpaca/yfinance) did not return a price for this run.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L0:DATA_ISSUE_NO_PRICEPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:5.0>=4.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:NO_DATE
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (2)
- MOMENTUM:5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
- ASYMMETRY:UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)
Reward-to-Risk
0.00
Upside
+0.0%
Downside
0.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
Setup— — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNo clear edge — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAggressive — MCap $0.7B<$5B
Investment implication
The DATA_ISSUE verdict reflects clean gate clearance against Growth at 10.0 and asymmetric R:R of 0.00.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Catalyst at 8.0, and Risk (lower is worse) at 7.5; the weakest are Quality at 2.3, Peer rank at 4.1, and Technical at 5.0. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.00 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.
What would invalidate the thesis
Falsifying conditions — when triggered, the corresponding pillar's thesis is invalidated.
- P1Extreme Short Interest
Trip ifShort interest stays above 199% of float for 2 more consecutive updates.
- P2No Tradable Price This Run
Trip ifCurrent_price stays below $0.01 for 2 more consecutive engine runs.
- P3Strong Revenue Growth Despite Quality Concerns
Trip ifRevenue growth falls below 15% year-over-year at the next reported update.
- P4Soft Momentum And Asymmetry Warnings
Trip ifMomentum score stays below 5.5 for 2 more consecutive runs once price data resumes.