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EQT Corporation (EQT) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $55.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin; Concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%).

EQT Corporation is a vertically integrated natural gas company with upstream, gathering, and transmission operations focused in the Appalachian Basin. It produced 2,382 Bcfe in 2025 at $3.19/Mcfe average realized price, generating $5.1B operating cash flow; 93% of proved... Read more

$55.70+13.5% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#2 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.17%
IncomeYield1.18%(5y avg 0.49%)Payout12.24%sustainable
Stop $53.46Target $63.50(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$70.56+26.7%25 analysts
$63.50our TP
$55.70price
$70.56mean
$83

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $55.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin; Concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong overall score: 7.1/10
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin
Concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.6
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$34.9B
EV/EBITDA5.8
Profit Mgn35.1%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth49.9%
Beta0.59
Dividend1.18%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.65bullish
IV45%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAppalachian Basin
    10-K Item 1: 'Substantially all of our assets and operations are located in the Appalachian Basin.'
  • HIGHGeographicMarcellus Shale93%
    10-K Item 1: '91% of our total proved developed reserves, over 99% of our total proved undeveloped reserves and 93% of our total proved reserves are located in the Marcellus Shale.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 5.02LOW
    EQT shareholders approved the Third Amendment to the 2020 Long-Term Incentive Plan at the April 14, 2026 Annual Meeting, increasing authorized shares by 34 million and extending the term to 2036. Routine compensatory arrangement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.11Resistance $60.62

Price Targets

$53
$64
A.Upside+14.0%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Analyst Consensus

Analysts30
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$71

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EQT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $55.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin; Concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $63.50 (+14.0%), stop $53.46 (−4.2%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EQT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.50 (+13.5% upside). Target $63.50 (+14.0%), stop $53.46 (−4.2%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $53.46.

What are the risks of investing in EQT?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin; Concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%).

Is EQT overvalued or undervalued?

EQT Corporation trades at a P/E of 10.6 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EQT?

30 analysts cover EQT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $71.

What does EQT Corporation do?EQT Corporation is a vertically integrated natural gas company with upstream, gathering, and transmission operations...

EQT Corporation is a vertically integrated natural gas company with upstream, gathering, and transmission operations focused in the Appalachian Basin. It produced 2,382 Bcfe in 2025 at $3.19/Mcfe average realized price, generating $5.1B operating cash flow; 93% of proved reserves are in the Marcellus Shale.

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