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EMAEmera IncorporatedSell4.3·$48.71
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Emera has built strong price momentum — a golden cross with rising volume accumulation — and has beaten consensus earnings estimates in three of the four most recent quarters, but the stock has already moved above the price target with negative remaining headroom, free cash flow is deeply negative relative to net income, and the dividend carries an unsafe yield warning, making the current setup one that favors patience rather than fresh capital.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Price Momentum Breakout↓Deteriorating
  • Free Cash Flow Deeply Negative→Stable
  • Price Above Target No Upside↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Emera Incorporated (EMA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $48.71 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0).

Emera Incorporated, an energy and services company, invests in generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in the United States, Canada, Barbados, and the Bahamas. The company operates through Florida Electric Utility, Canadian Electric Utilities, Gas Utilities and... Read more

$48.71-12.7% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#40 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-9.59%
IncomeYield4.31%(5y avg 4.83%)Payout92.48%at-risk
Stop $46.95Analyst target $42.50(reached)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst consensus$50.00+2.6%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $48.71 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.3
P/E (Fwd)18.8
Mkt Cap$15.0B
EV/EBITDA11.2
Profit Mgn11.6%
ROE7.6%
Rev Growth1.2%
Beta0.42
Dividend4.31%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.07bearish
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$60+23.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.8

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.9
Bollinger
2.2
52w Position
7.7
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
69 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $45.27Resistance $49.53

Price Targets

A.Upside-12.7%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.7% upside)
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EMA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $48.71 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $46.95. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.

What is the EMA stock price target?

Analyst target $42.50 reached (−12.7% from $48.71); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $46.95. Stop-loss: $46.95.

What are the risks of investing in EMA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0.

Is EMA overvalued or undervalued?

Emera Incorporated trades at a P/E of 21.3 (forward 18.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EMA?

19 analysts cover EMA with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $50.

What does Emera Incorporated do?Emera Incorporated, an energy and services company, invests in generation, transmission, and distribution of...

Emera Incorporated, an energy and services company, invests in generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in the United States, Canada, Barbados, and the Bahamas. The company operates through Florida Electric Utility, Canadian Electric Utilities, Gas Utilities and Infrastructure, Other Electric Utilities, and Other segments. It is involved in the purchase, transmission, distribution, and sale of natural gas; and physical energy marketing, trading, and other energy asset management activities. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Halifax, Canada.

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