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EDNEmpresa Distribuidora Y ComerciSell5.5·$28.37+9.41%
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Empresa Distribuidora Y Comerci (EDN) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.37: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima engages in the distribution and sale of electricity in Argentina. The company operates an electrical power distribution system that consists of 85 transformation substations and interconnections with high voltage... Read more

$28.37+15.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#9 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-37694.96%
Stop $26.38Target $32.73(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$38.50+35.7%2 analysts
$32.73our TP
$28.37price
$38.50mean
$40

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.37: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 7, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Cyclical trap - fwd PE 763x vs trail 5x (143.5x)
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.3), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.3
P/E (Fwd)762.6
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA0.8
Profit Mgn10.3%
ROE14.7%
Rev Growth0.0%
Beta0.01
DividendNone
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
1.0
52w Position
4.9

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
1.0
Roa
2.0
Moat
4.4
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.6
Roe
4.9
Net Margin
5.2
Operating Margin
6.4
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -150% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $22.20Resistance $29.00

Price Targets

$26
$33
A.Upside+15.4%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 763x vs trail 5x (143.5x)
! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.3), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-07 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EDN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.37: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $26.38. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EDN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.73 (+15.4% upside). Prior stop was $26.38. Stop-loss: $26.38.

What are the risks of investing in EDN?

Cyclical trap - fwd PE 763x vs trail 5x (143.5x); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.3), Negative free cash flow.

Is EDN overvalued or undervalued?

Empresa Distribuidora Y Comerci trades at a P/E of 5.3 (forward 762.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EDN?

5 analysts cover EDN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Empresa Distribuidora Y Comerci do?Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima engages in the distribution and sale of electricity in...

Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima engages in the distribution and sale of electricity in Argentina. The company operates an electrical power distribution system that consists of 85 transformation substations and interconnections with high voltage customers with 20,295 MVA of installed power and 1,594 km of high voltage networks; and MV/LV and MV/MV distribution system comprises 19,845 transformers with 10,137 MVA of installed power, 12,732 km of medium voltage networks, and 28,590 km of low voltage networks. It serves approximately 3.39 million customers. The company was formerly known as Empresa Distribuidora Norte Sociedad Anónima and changed its name to Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima in January 1997. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima operates as a subsidiary of Empresa de Energía del Cono Sur S.A.

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