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DOCHealthpeak Properties, Inc.Sell5.1·$22.29+0.07%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Healthpeak Properties has exceeded its analyst consensus target, leaving no positive asymmetry at current levels; while the portfolio demonstrates strong cash conversion and a high financial health score, heavy geographic concentration in San Francisco laboratory space and a dividend whose safety is in question make this a name to reduce rather than add.

Thesis pillars

  • Sf Lab Portfolio ConcentrationDeteriorating
  • Price Above Analyst TargetImproving
  • Dividend Safety ConcernStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Healthpeak Properties, Inc. (DOC) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $22.29 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab portfolio (59.0%).

Healthpeak Properties is a healthcare REIT owning 689 properties across outpatient medical (507 buildings), lab (145 buildings), and senior housing (34 communities) segments in the U.S. Revenue comes from leases to healthcare providers, biotech tenants, and RIDEA-structured... Read more

$22.29-9.7% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#10 of 16 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.23%
IncomeYield5.53%(5y avg 5.57%)Payout381.26%
Stop $21.43Target $22.31(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$22.34+0.2%19 analysts
$22.31our TP
$22.29price
$22.34mean
$17
$29

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $22.29 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab portfolio (59.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 20268d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab portfolio (59.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.2% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)69.6
P/E (Fwd)-148.5
Mkt Cap$15.4B
EV/EBITDA16.9
Profit Mgn7.7%
ROE2.8%
Rev Growth7.1%
Beta1.00
Dividend5.53%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV46%normal
Max Pain$13-43.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWTenantHCA Healthcare7.0%
    10-K Item 1: 'most significant outpatient medical tenant concentration ... HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA)| | 15 | %| | 7 | %'
  • HIGHGeographicSan Francisco lab portfolio59%
    10-K Item 1: 'including San Francisco, California (59%), Boston, Massachusetts (22%), and San Diego, California (17%) (based on total square feet)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.18Resistance $22.77

Price Targets

$21
$22
A.Upside-9.7%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.7% upside)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $22.29 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab portfolio (59.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $21.43. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DOC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.31 (-9.7% upside). Prior stop was $21.43. Stop-loss: $21.43.

What are the risks of investing in DOC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab portfolio (59.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.2% away).

Is DOC overvalued or undervalued?

Healthpeak Properties, Inc. trades at a P/E of 69.6 (forward -148.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DOC?

24 analysts cover DOC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Healthpeak Properties, Inc. do?Healthpeak Properties is a healthcare REIT owning 689 properties across outpatient medical (507 buildings), lab (145...

Healthpeak Properties is a healthcare REIT owning 689 properties across outpatient medical (507 buildings), lab (145 buildings), and senior housing (34 communities) segments in the U.S. Revenue comes from leases to healthcare providers, biotech tenants, and RIDEA-structured senior housing operators; 2025 Adjusted NOI: outpatient medical $796M, lab $567M, senior housing $177M.

Related stocks: OHI (Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc) · SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.) · AHR (American Healthcare REIT, Inc.) · MPT (Medical Properties Trust, Inc.) · VTR (Ventas, Inc.)
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