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DJTTrump Media & Technology Group Sell5.2·$5.97
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Trump Media & Technology Group is a pre-profitability business burning cash at extreme rates with no identifiable competitive advantage, quality metrics well below any investable threshold, a confirmed price downtrend, and recent leadership changes adding governance uncertainty — the data supports exiting rather than holding a position.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Cash Burn→Stable
  • Management Transition Risk→Stable
  • Confirmed Price Downtrend↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.97: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.87; Below-average business quality.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates Truth Social (a social media platform launched April 2022), Truth+ (a streaming TV service reaching connected TVs by October 2024), and Truth.Fi (a fintech/financial services brand launched January 2025 with five ETFs listed on NYSE... Read more

$5.97+52.1% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#25 of 29 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield39.49%
Stop $5.73Resistance target $9.08A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.97: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.87; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 18, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 20268d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA-3.2
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-78.9%
Rev Growth89.0%
Beta4.10
DividendNone
Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.87bearish
IV100%elevated
Max Pain$4-41.4% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-24Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CEO Devin Nunes departed effective April 21, 2026 via Separation Agreement; also resigned as Board Chairman. Kevin McGurn appointed Interim CEO effective April 21, 2026. No reason cited beyond transition announcement.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-10Item 5.02LOW
    Board director Eric Swider resigned effective April 6, 2026. Resignation not due to any dispute with management or Board. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
2.7
Current Ratio
3.8
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Volatile — 6.7% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Put Call
0.9
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Short Interest
4.6
Debt Equity
5.3
Days To Cover
5.4
Elevated put/call: 1.87High IV: 100%Above max pain $4

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
1.8
Rsi
3.0
Volume
8.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 18, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Speculative
RSI
18 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.91Resistance $9.27

Price Targets

$6
$9
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DJT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.97: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.87; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 18, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $5.73. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DJT stock price target?

Resistance target: $9.08 (+52.1% upside). Prior stop was $5.73. Stop-loss: $5.73.

What are the risks of investing in DJT?

Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is DJT overvalued or undervalued?

Trump Media & Technology Group trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does Trump Media & Technology Group do?Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates Truth Social (a social media platform launched April 2022), Truth+ (a...

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates Truth Social (a social media platform launched April 2022), Truth+ (a streaming TV service reaching connected TVs by October 2024), and Truth.Fi (a fintech/financial services brand launched January 2025 with five ETFs listed on NYSE by December 2025). The company generates advertising revenue and is developing subscription monetization; it ended 2025 with approximately $2.47 billion in cash, investments, and digital assets against approximately $947.1 million of debt.

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Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga4h agoCONCERN
Benzinga39m ago
Benzinga9d ago
Benzinga10d ago
Benzinga17d ago
Benzinga20d agoLeadership Change
Benzinga28d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga29d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga49d ago
Benzinga49d ago
Benzinga62d agoLegal
Benzinga66d ago
Benzinga71d ago
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Benzinga77d agoLegal
Benzinga78d agoLegal
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