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Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-08). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.39: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Trump Media & Technology Group operates Truth Social (free speech social media platform) and Truth+ (TV streaming) plus Truth.Fi (financial/bitcoin treasury brand). Revenue model is early-stage; ended 2025 with ~$2.5B in cash/investments and ~$947M debt including bitcoin... Read more

$9.39+10.1% A.UpsideScore 3.7/10#26 of 27 Internet Content & Information
Stop $8.73Target $10.34(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.39: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Val5.0Qual2.9Grw2.6Mom2.4Sent4.2Ins5.0Peer2.0Tech4.5Risk4.63.7OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: President Donald J. Trump
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA-14.3
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-55.6%
Rev Growth0.5%
Beta4.63
DividendNone
Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV82%elevated
Max Pain$4-57.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerPresident Donald J. Trump
    10-K Item 1A: 'TMTG's success depends in part on the popularity of its brand and the reputation and popularity of President Donald J. Trump'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-10Item 5.02LOW
    Eric Swider resigned from Board effective April 6, 2026. No dispute with management or Board cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-06Item 5.02LOW
    Robert Lighthizer resigned from Board effective March 6, 2026. No dispute with management or Board cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.4
Growth Rank
2.7
Value Rank
5.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.0
Macd
3.5
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.6
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Current Ratio
4.7
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Gross Margin
6.9
Cash-burning: FCF -1880% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.97Resistance $10.55

Price Targets

$9
$10
A.Upside+10.1%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-08 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DJT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.39: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $8.73. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

What is the DJT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.34 (+10.1% upside). Prior stop was $8.73. Stop-loss: $8.73.

What are the risks of investing in DJT?

Concentration risk — Customer: President Donald J. Trump; Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0).

Is DJT overvalued or undervalued?

Trump Media & Technology Group trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

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What does Trump Media & Technology Group do?Trump Media & Technology Group operates Truth Social (free speech social media platform) and Truth+ (TV streaming) plus...

Trump Media & Technology Group operates Truth Social (free speech social media platform) and Truth+ (TV streaming) plus Truth.Fi (financial/bitcoin treasury brand). Revenue model is early-stage; ended 2025 with ~$2.5B in cash/investments and ~$947M debt including bitcoin holdings.

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