DJT · Why this verdict
Why Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) is rated SELL
Updated
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
1.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.0 |
| Gross margin | 0.8 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 4.2 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 4.4 |
| Piotroski F | 4.4 |
- ▸Cash-burning: FCF -6813% of revenue
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
4.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.0 |
Momentum
3.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 6.8 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 4.1 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 7.5 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.50 (n=1)
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
1.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.0 |
| quality rank | 0.0 |
| growth rank | 2.7 |
Technical
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.0 |
| support resistance | 7.7 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.6 |
| days to cover | 8.0 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| debt equity | 6.4 |
- ▸High IV: 104%
- ▸Above max pain $4
Catalyst
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:53d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.5<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (2)
- ASYMMETRY:UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
0.00
Upside
+0.0%
Downside
12.8%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 4.09>1.3, MCap $2.3B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Sentiment at 6.2 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:3.5<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 6.2, Value at 5.0, and Insider at 5.0; the weakest are Quality at 1.7, Peer rank at 1.9, and Momentum at 3.5. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.00 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.