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DANDana IncorporatedSell5.1·$30.18-2.06%
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Dana Incorporated (DAN) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.18: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Dana Incorporated supplies power-conveyance and energy-management solutions to light and commercial vehicle OEMs worldwide, with $7.5 billion in 2025 sales split 70%/30% between its two segments across 24 countries. Ford Motor Company represented approximately 32% of 2025 sales,... Read more

$30.18+18.6% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#22 of 27 Auto Parts
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield17.44%
IncomeYield1.56%(5y avg 2.46%)Payout90.91%at-risk
Stop $28.06Target $35.79(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$41.14+36.3%7 analysts
$35.79our TP
$30.18price
$41.14mean
$46

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.18: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Dana Incorporated

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (76.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single sources of supply
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)9.1
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA7.3
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE-2.8%
Rev Growth4.9%
Beta1.94
Dividend1.56%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.19bullish
IV96%elevated
Max Pain$27-10.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerFord Motor Company32%
    10-K Item 1: 'Ford Motor Company ... our sales to Ford were approximately 32% in 2025'
  • LOWCustomerStellantis N.V.13%
    10-K Item 1: 'Stellantis N.V. ... Our sales to Stellantis (via a directed supply relationship) were approximately 13% in 2025'
  • HIGHCustomertop 10 customers76%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our 10 largest customers collectively accounted for approximately 76% of our sales in 2025'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle sources of supply
    10-K Item 1A: 'we are dependent on single sources of supply for some components of our products'
  • MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. operations43%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 43% of our sales in 2025 were from operations located in countries other than the U.S.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.7
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.2
Uptrend pullback (RSI 33) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.4
Roa
1.5
Moat
3.9
Fcf Quality
4.0
Current Ratio
5.7
Net Margin
7.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Strong margins: 15%Earnings quality warning: 50% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.34Resistance $37.54

Price Targets

$28
$36
A.Upside+18.6%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DAN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.18: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $28.06. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DAN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.79 (+18.6% upside). Prior stop was $28.06. Stop-loss: $28.06.

What are the risks of investing in DAN?

Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (76.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single sources of supply; Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is DAN overvalued or undervalued?

Dana Incorporated trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DAN?

14 analysts cover DAN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Dana Incorporated do?Dana Incorporated supplies power-conveyance and energy-management solutions to light and commercial vehicle OEMs...

Dana Incorporated supplies power-conveyance and energy-management solutions to light and commercial vehicle OEMs worldwide, with $7.5 billion in 2025 sales split 70%/30% between its two segments across 24 countries. Ford Motor Company represented approximately 32% of 2025 sales, the top 10 customers collectively 76%, and the Off-Highway business was divested to Allison Transmission in January 2026.

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