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CWCurtiss-Wright CorporationSell5.9·$496.74
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Curtiss-Wright has delivered four consecutive earnings beats on strong technical momentum and best-in-class quality metrics, but at a forward P/E of 44.7 times and with the stock trading above its near-term price target, the risk/reward is unfavorable for new entry from current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margins Quality→Stable
  • Consistent Reliable Earnings Beats↑Improving
  • Strong Technical Momentum Breakout↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $496.74: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government and foreign government end use (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers.

Curtiss-Wright designs and manufactures highly engineered products for aerospace & defense, naval and power markets across three segments, with 58% of 2025 net sales to U.S. and foreign governments. The company serves U.S. Navy submarine programs, commercial nuclear plants and... Read more

$496.74+19.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#27 of 65 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.01%
IncomeYield0.22%(5y avg 0.26%)Payout6.75%sustainable
Stop $469.60Analyst target $592.80(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst consensus$681.38+37.2%8 analysts
$592.80Analyst target
$496.74price
$681.38mean
$870

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $496.74: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government and foreign government end use (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 40. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Curtiss-Wright Corporation

About Curtiss-Wright Corporation

Defense Electronics, Naval & Power and Aerospace & Industrial together generated 58% of 2025 net sales from U.S. Government and foreign government end-use customers, with U.S. Government sales alone totaling $1,647 million across Curtiss-Wright's three segments. The company employed approximately 9,100 people in more than 20 countries at year-end 2025, with 6% covered by labor union agreements, and carried a backlog of approximately $4.1 billion.

Curtiss-Wright earns revenue through three segments: Defense Electronics (embedded computing, data acquisition and tactical communications for U.S. and allied defense programs on more than 400 platforms), Naval & Power (propulsion equipment, steam turbines and coolant pumps for Virginia-class and Columbia-class submarines and the Ford-class carrier, plus commercial nuclear plant hardware for North America, the U.K. and South Korea), and Aerospace & Industrial (sensors, surface technology and specialty vehicle products sold to commercial OEM programs). U.S. defense spending—the source of roughly 47% of 2025 net sales—has historically been cyclical and subject to congressional funding cycles. Several component suppliers hold sole-source positions; if a sole-source supplier ceases or delays delivery, the company may be unable to produce the related product in sufficient quantities. Foreign pre-tax earnings grew from 35% of the total in 2023 to 41% in 2025.

Show full overview

Two named naval programs—Virginia-class and Columbia-class submarines—are cited in the Naval & Power segment as key revenue drivers, making continued U.S. Navy shipbuilding appropriations a discrete program-level risk. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted July 4, 2025 raised the federal debt ceiling by $5 trillion, reducing near-term risk of contract delays from a debt-ceiling impasse. However, U.S. Government contracts can be terminated for convenience at any time, and option years may go unexercised if an agency lacks funding or is dissatisfied with performance.

See also: Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

From Curtiss-Wright Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government and foreign government end use (58.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.2
P/E (Fwd)28.8
Mkt Cap$18.3B
EV/EBITDA22.6
Profit Mgn14.8%
ROE19.7%
Rev Growth5.4%
Beta0.88
Dividend0.22%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.77bearish
IV50%elevated
Max Pain$330-33.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. Government and foreign government end use58%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our sales to the U.S. Government and foreign government end use represented 58%, 57%, and 56% of total net sales during 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. defense programs47%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 47% of our total net sales were derived from or related to U.S. defense programs.'
  • HIGHSuppliersole-source component suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'several suppliers are our sole source of certain components. If a sole-source supplier is delayed or should cease or otherwise be unable to deliver such components'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-20Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Curtiss-Wright terminated its $750 million revolving credit facility (entered May 2022, maturing May 2027) concurrent with entering a new $1 billion revolving credit facility maturing May 2031. No early termination penalties incurred.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)8K FLAG 1.02Momentum 5.7>=5.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
40 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $453.43Resistance $558.22

Price Targets

$470
$593
A.Upside+19.3%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $496.74: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government and foreign government end use (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 40. Prior stop was $469.60. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CW stock price target?

Analyst target: $592.80 (+19.3% upside). Prior stop was $469.60. Stop-loss: $469.60.

What are the risks of investing in CW?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government and foreign government end use (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is CW overvalued or undervalued?

Curtiss-Wright Corporation trades at a P/E of 34.2 (forward 28.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CW?

18 analysts cover CW with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $681.

What does Curtiss-Wright Corporation do?Curtiss-Wright designs and manufactures highly engineered products for aerospace & defense, naval and power markets...

Curtiss-Wright designs and manufactures highly engineered products for aerospace & defense, naval and power markets across three segments, with 58% of 2025 net sales to U.S. and foreign governments. The company serves U.S. Navy submarine programs, commercial nuclear plants and defense electronics, with approximately 9,100 employees in more than 20 countries and backlog of approximately $4.1 billion.

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