Value
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 0.9 |
| P/S | 9.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 2.6 |
| Fwd P/E | 4.1 |
| PEG | 7.0 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 29.5x
- ▸PEG: 1.01
CTRI · Why this verdict
Why Centuri Holdings (CTRI) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
2.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 1.5 |
| ROA | 2.1 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.5 |
| Current ratio | 6.6 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 4.9 |
| Piotroski F | 5.6 |
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -99% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 32% YoY
Momentum
4.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 6.3 |
| OBV | 1.1 |
| MA position | 7.0 |
| Volume | 0.5 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 7.9 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 22%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.3 |
| quality rank | 0.7 |
| growth rank | 9.3 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
4.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 4.5 |
| support resistance | 4.7 |
| 52w position | 4.1 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.7 |
| days to cover | 8.7 |
| volatility | 1.5 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 0.6 |
| beta | 6.8 |
| debt equity | 4.8 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 11.29
- ▸High IV: 77%
Catalyst
2.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:54d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:4.1<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:0.7<1.5@spot
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
0.72
Upside
+6.3%
Downside
8.8%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $3.0B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Growth at 10.0 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:4.1<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Sentiment at 5.9, and Value at 5.2; the weakest are Quality at 2.4, Catalyst at 2.5, and Momentum at 4.1. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.72 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.