Skip to main content
CPKChesapeake Utilities CorporatioSell5.5·$123.55+1.01%
Open full analysis

Chesapeake Utilities Corporatio (CPK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

Sell if holding. At $123.55, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.3%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Chesapeake Utilities distributes natural gas, electricity, and propane across Delaware, Maryland, Florida, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Ohio through Regulated and Unregulated Energy segments. The Regulated Energy segment generated $119.7 million in net income in 2025... Read more

$123.55+3.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#2 of 14 Utilities - Regulated Gas
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-8.24%
IncomeYield2.38%(5y avg 1.88%)Payout43.98%sustainable
Stop $116.86Target $126.85(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$145.80+18.0%5 analysts
$126.85our TP
$123.55price
$145.80mean
$160

Sell if holding. At $123.55, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.3%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Chesapeake Utilities Corporatio

About Chesapeake Utilities Corporatio

Chesapeake Utilities served over 376,000 average regulated distribution customers in 2025 — approximately 228,949 in Florida natural gas, 114,245 on the Delmarva Peninsula, and 33,516 in Florida electric — alongside natural gas transmission through Eastern Shore (320,411 Dts/d capacity, Delaware/Maryland/Pennsylvania) and Peninsula Pipeline (1,087,171 Dts/d, Florida). The Regulated Energy segment generated $119.7 million in net income, with operations regulated by the Florida PSC, Delaware PSC, Maryland PSC, and FERC.

Chesapeake Utilities earns regulated distribution revenue at rates approved by state public service commissions. The Florida PSC allows FPU natural gas a 10.25% return on equity with a rate base of $453.7 million and FCG a 9.50% return on equity with a rate base of $487.3 million; both operations recover fuel cost changes through PSC-approved pass-through mechanisms rather than base rate filings. Eastern Shore's FERC-regulated transmission rates were last set in an order effective August 2017. The Unregulated Energy segment includes propane operations and Marlin Gas Services' compressed natural gas transport. FPU natural gas and Eight Flags rely on asset management agreements with Emera Energy Services, Inc. — contracts expiring November 2030 — to optimize transportation capacity. The Ohio subsidiary Aspire Energy Express serves one customer, Guernsey Power Station, as its sole supplier, generating $1.5 million in transmission revenue. Competition for industrial customers comes from alternative fuels; residential and commercial customers face no direct competing distributor within Chesapeake Utilities' franchise territories.

Show full overview

Florida PSC regulatory outcomes shape a substantial portion of Chesapeake Utilities' earnings. In July 2025, the Florida PSC approved a permanent base rate increase of approximately $8.6 million annually for FPU electric distribution, resolving a protested initial March 2025 order through settlement. FCG — serving approximately 125,000 customers across eight Florida counties with a rate base of $487.3 million — provided notice to the Florida PSC in February 2026 of its intent to file a rate case petition based on a 2027 projected test year, an outcome subject to Florida PSC review and approval. The Delaware natural gas division received a $6.1 million annual revenue increase approved by the Delaware PSC in June 2025, effective March 2025.

See also: Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

From Chesapeake Utilities Corporatio's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.3%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.8
P/E (Fwd)16.9
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA12.3
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE9.6%
Rev Growth18.2%
Beta0.70
Dividend2.38%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV57%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMregulatoryFlorida PSC regulated operations
    10-K Item 1: 'FCG provided notice to the Florida PSC of its intent to file a petition ... Florida Electric division filed a petition with the Florida PSC'
  • LOWCustomerGuernsey Power Station
    10-K Item 1: 'Our transmission business in Ohio, Aspire Energy Express, services one customer, Guernsey Power Station, to which it is the sole supplier.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-24Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Beth W. Cooper announced retirement effective June 30, 2026 after over 36 years with the company. Jeffrey S. Sylvester, current COO and Senior Vice President, named as successor CFO effective July 1, 2026. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $118.42Resistance $128.29

Price Targets

$117
$127
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $123.55, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.3%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Prior stop was $116.86. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CPK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $126.85 (+3.3% upside). Prior stop was $116.86. Stop-loss: $116.86.

What are the risks of investing in CPK?

Thin upside margin: 3.3%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is CPK overvalued or undervalued?

Chesapeake Utilities Corporatio trades at a P/E of 19.8 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CPK?

10 analysts cover CPK with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $146.

What does Chesapeake Utilities Corporatio do?Chesapeake Utilities distributes natural gas, electricity, and propane across Delaware, Maryland, Florida, North...

Chesapeake Utilities distributes natural gas, electricity, and propane across Delaware, Maryland, Florida, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Ohio through Regulated and Unregulated Energy segments. The Regulated Energy segment generated $119.7 million in net income in 2025 through rates set by state PSCs and FERC; the November 2023 acquisition of FCG for $922.8 million added approximately 125,000 Florida natural gas customers.

Related stocks: SR (Spire Inc.) · UGI (UGI Corporation) · CTRI (Centuri Holdings, Inc.) · BIPC (Brookfield Infrastructure Corpo) · NJR (NewJersey Resources Corporation)
Home Stocks CPK

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat47d agoEarnings
TipRanks40d agoEarnings
MarketBeat40d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com40d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com40d agoEarnings
MSN40d ago
PR Newswire40d ago
MSN48d agoLeadership Change
MarketBeat49d ago
Newser43d ago
TradingView43d ago
Newser45d ago
TradingView42d agoEarnings
富途牛牛46d agoEarnings
Benzinga34d ago
Benzinga40d agoEarnings
Benzinga40d agoEarnings
Benzinga40d ago
Benzinga55d agoAnalyst