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CSLCarlisle Companies IncorporatedSell5.0·$338.09-2.28%
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Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. At $338.09, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Carlisle Companies Incorporated ("Carlisle," the "Company," "we," "us" or "our") is a leading supplier of innovative building envelope products and solutions for more energy-efficient buildings. Through our building products businesses, Carlisle Construction Materials and... Read more

$338.09+5.5% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#10 of 19 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.28%
IncomeYield1.30%(5y avg 1.03%)Payout25.10%sustainable
Stop $318.79Target $356.82(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$410.14+21.3%7 analysts
$356.82our TP
$338.09price
$410.14mean
$450

Sell if holding. At $338.09, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.0 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.5%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.7
P/E (Fwd)14.4
Mkt Cap$13.7B
EV/EBITDA13.2
Profit Mgn14.6%
ROE38.2%
Rev Growth-4.0%
Beta0.86
Dividend1.30%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV51%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-30Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 28, 2026, Scott C.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -4.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
1.4
Revenue Growth
1.5
Declining revenue: -4%
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $321.25Resistance $359.79

Price Targets

$319
$357
A.Upside+5.5%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $338.09, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $318.79. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the CSL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $356.82 (+5.5% upside). Prior stop was $318.79. Stop-loss: $318.79.

What are the risks of investing in CSL?

Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.

Is CSL overvalued or undervalued?

Carlisle Companies Incorporated trades at a P/E of 19.7 (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSL?

16 analysts cover CSL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $410.

What does Carlisle Companies Incorporated do?Carlisle Companies Incorporated ("Carlisle," the "Company," "we," "us" or "our") is a leading supplier of innovative...

Carlisle Companies Incorporated ("Carlisle," the "Company," "we," "us" or "our") is a leading supplier of innovative building envelope products and solutions for more energy-efficient buildings. Through our building products businesses, Carlisle Construction Materials and Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies, and family of leading brands, Carlisle delivers innovative, labor reducing and environmentally responsible products and solutions to customers through the Carlisle Experience.

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