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CSLCarlisle Companies IncorporatedHold5.6·$369.88+10.56%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Carlisle Companies shows strong price momentum with a golden cross and volume accumulation, and posts a return on equity of 38% that ranks superior to peers — but the stock has essentially reached analyst targets with only 0.9% headroom to the take-profit level and a risk/reward of 0.14-to-1; declining revenue of negative 4% and a dividend payout ratio above 100% of earnings create pressure on the financial profile if growth does not recover.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Momentum BreakoutImproving
  • Superior Return On EquityStable
  • Target Exhausted Thin UpsideDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $369.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.

Carlisle Companies Incorporated ("Carlisle," the "Company," "we," "us" or "our") is a leading supplier of innovative building envelope products and solutions for more energy-efficient buildings. Through our building products businesses, Carlisle Construction Materials and... Read more

$369.88-5.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#13 of 26 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.34%
IncomeYield1.27%(5y avg 1.03%)Payout25.10%sustainable
Stop $343.99Target $367.52(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$403.29+9.0%7 analysts
$367.52our TP
$369.88price
$403.29mean
$340
$450

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $369.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30

Recent Developments — Carlisle Companies Incorporated

Generated 2026-07-31T05:18:56Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.3
P/E (Fwd)14.1
Mkt Cap$13.5B
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn14.6%
ROE38.2%
Rev Growth-4.0%
Beta0.85
Dividend1.27%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral
IV47%normal
Max Pain$240-35.1% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-30Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 28, 2026, Scott C.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
1.4
Revenue Growth
1.5
Declining revenue: -4%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.9
Gap
3.0
52w Position
7.2
Extreme gap up (7.0%) - may pull back
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $320.23Resistance $375.02

Price Targets

$344
$368
A.Upside-5.1%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $369.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $367.52 (-0.6%), stop $343.99 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CSL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $367.52 (-5.1% upside). Target $367.52 (-0.6%), stop $343.99 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $343.99.

What are the risks of investing in CSL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Weak growth.

Is CSL overvalued or undervalued?

Carlisle Companies Incorporated trades at a P/E of 20.3 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CSL?

16 analysts cover CSL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $403.

What does Carlisle Companies Incorporated do?Carlisle Companies Incorporated ("Carlisle," the "Company," "we," "us" or "our") is a leading supplier of innovative...

Carlisle Companies Incorporated ("Carlisle," the "Company," "we," "us" or "our") is a leading supplier of innovative building envelope products and solutions for more energy-efficient buildings. Through our building products businesses, Carlisle Construction Materials and Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies, and family of leading brands, Carlisle delivers innovative, labor reducing and environmentally responsible products and solutions to customers through the Carlisle Experience.

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