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MASMasco CorporationSell5.6·$74.53+1.06%
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Masco Corporation (MAS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $74.53 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot (38.0%).

Masco Corporation manufactures and distributes branded home improvement and building products under BEHR paint, DELTA and HANSGROHE faucets, HOT SPRING spas, and LIBERTY hardware, sold primarily through home center retailers and online channels. Net sales were approximately $7.6... Read more

$74.53-1.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#4 of 19 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.96%
IncomeYield1.74%(5y avg 1.77%)Payout30.94%sustainable
Stop $70.51Target $73.41(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$80.67+8.2%18 analysts
$73.41our TP
$74.53price
$80.67mean
$67
$97

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $74.53 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot (38.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 47d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202647d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot (38.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 122.3): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.3
P/E (Fwd)15.7
Mkt Cap$14.9B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn10.9%
ROE8457.1%
Rev Growth6.5%
Beta1.31
Dividend1.74%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C13.25bearish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$45-39.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerThe Home Depot38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our net sales to The Home Depot were $2.9 billion (approximately 38 percent of our consolidated net sales)'
  • LOWGeographicnon-North America sales21%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, 21 percent of our sales were made outside of North America (particularly in Europe) and transacted in currencies other than the U.S. dollar'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-21Item 5.02LOW
    Jai Shah, Group President Plumbing and Wellness, to conclude service July 3, 2026. Separation agreement provides $1,206,000 cash, prorated 2026 bonus and RSU equivalent, and prorated LTIP share award. No successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-26Item 1.01MEDIUM
    Masco entered new $1 billion revolving Credit Agreement dated March 20, 2026 with JPMorgan as administrative agent, replacing the 2022 Credit Agreement which was concurrently terminated. Available in USD, EUR, and other currencies for general corporate purposes.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-12Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation Committee approved full-value RSU award for CEO Jonathon J. Nudi of $1,749,000 for 2025 service (pro-rated from July 7, 2025 start date). Routine compensatory arrangement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.1
Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
9.0
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 47d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $62.95Resistance $74.91

Price Targets

$71
$73
A.Upside-1.5%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (47d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $74.53 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot (38.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $70.51. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $73.41 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $70.51. Stop-loss: $70.51.

What are the risks of investing in MAS?

Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot (38.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 122.3): -1.5.

Is MAS overvalued or undervalued?

Masco Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.3 (forward 15.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MAS?

26 analysts cover MAS with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $81.

What does Masco Corporation do?Masco Corporation manufactures and distributes branded home improvement and building products under BEHR paint, DELTA...

Masco Corporation manufactures and distributes branded home improvement and building products under BEHR paint, DELTA and HANSGROHE faucets, HOT SPRING spas, and LIBERTY hardware, sold primarily through home center retailers and online channels. Net sales were approximately $7.6 billion in 2025; The Home Depot accounted for approximately 38% of consolidated net sales, with BEHR holding exclusive retail channel rights in North America.

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