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CRWDCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.Sell4.8·$683.30-1.19%
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CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $683.30 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

CrowdStrike delivers cloud-native cybersecurity through its Falcon platform, which includes 33 cloud modules covering endpoint security, cloud workloads, identity protection, and SIEM on a SaaS subscription model with 1-3 year terms. The company posted net losses of $162.5... Read more

$683.30+12.8% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#65 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.09%
Stop $635.00Target $769.95(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$712.37+4.3%51 analysts
$769.95our TP
$683.30price
$712.37mean
$413
$850

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $683.30 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Sep 1, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.8/10
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)110.6
Mkt Cap$176.0B
EV/EBITDA2905.5
Profit Mgn-0.6%
ROE-0.2%
Rev Growth25.6%
Beta1.24
DividendNone
Rating analysts61

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.08bearish
IV58%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-21Item 5.02LOW
    On April 16, 2026, CrowdStrike Board approved a PSU award to President Michael Sentonas under the 2019 Equity Incentive Plan, targeting 100,000 PSUs subject to performance and service conditions. Routine compensatory arrangement for existing officer; no departure or appointment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Forward Pe
1.0
Peg Ratio
2.1
Analyst Target
4.0
Forward P/E: 110.6xPEG: 5.63Expensive valuation

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.4
Quality Rank
2.0
Growth Rank
6.8
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $560.69Resistance $785.66

Price Targets

$635
$770
A.Upside+12.7%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.0% upside)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-01 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRWD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $683.30 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $635.00. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRWD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $769.95 (+12.8% upside). Prior stop was $635.00. Stop-loss: $635.00.

What are the risks of investing in CRWD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Expensive valuation.

Is CRWD overvalued or undervalued?

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 110.6). TrendMatrix value score: 1.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CRWD?

61 analysts cover CRWD with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $712.

What does CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. do?CrowdStrike delivers cloud-native cybersecurity through its Falcon platform, which includes 33 cloud modules covering...

CrowdStrike delivers cloud-native cybersecurity through its Falcon platform, which includes 33 cloud modules covering endpoint security, cloud workloads, identity protection, and SIEM on a SaaS subscription model with 1-3 year terms. The company posted net losses of $162.5 million in fiscal 2026 and $15.2 million in fiscal 2025, having achieved net income of $72.2 million in fiscal 2024. Its data flywheel—crowdsourced telemetry from endpoints trains AI models for all customers—creates the stated network effect.

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