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Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $396.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away).

Analog Devices designs and sells over 75,000 analog, mixed-signal, and digital ICs across industrial (45%), automotive (30%), consumer (13%), and communications (13%) end markets globally. Third-party distributors accounted for ~56% of fiscal 2025 revenue; manufacturing spans... Read more

$396.87+0.9% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#7 of 45 Semiconductors
Stop $372.73Target $400.20(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$393.16-0.9%32 analysts
$400.20our TP
$396.87price
$393.16mean
$295
$475

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $396.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.8% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)73.5
P/E (Fwd)30.6
Mkt Cap$196.4B
EV/EBITDA36.8
Profit Mgn23.0%
ROE7.9%
Rev Growth30.4%
Beta1.05
Dividend1.01%
Rating analysts41

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.58bearish
IV50%normal
Max Pain$180-54.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierTSMC
    10-K Item 1A: 'We currently source more than half of our wafer requirements annually from third-party wafer foundries, including Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) and others.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerthird-party distributors56%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to third-party distributors accounted for approximately 56% of our revenue in the year ended November 1, 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-12Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved Amended and Restated 2020 Equity Incentive Plan at March 11, 2026 Annual Meeting. Routine equity plan amendment; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
1.3
Forward Pe
3.9
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
7.2
Forward P/E: 30.6xPEG: 0.97
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $318.75Resistance $408.37

Price Targets

$373
$400
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-20 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ADI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $396.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $400.20 (+0.8%), stop $372.73 (−6.5%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ADI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $400.20 (+0.9% upside). Target $400.20 (+0.8%), stop $372.73 (−6.5%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $372.73.

What are the risks of investing in ADI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away); Expensive valuation.

Is ADI overvalued or undervalued?

Analog Devices, Inc. trades at a P/E of 73.5 (forward 30.6). TrendMatrix value score: 3.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ADI?

41 analysts cover ADI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $393.

What does Analog Devices, Inc. do?Analog Devices designs and sells over 75,000 analog, mixed-signal, and digital ICs across industrial (45%), automotive...

Analog Devices designs and sells over 75,000 analog, mixed-signal, and digital ICs across industrial (45%), automotive (30%), consumer (13%), and communications (13%) end markets globally. Third-party distributors accounted for ~56% of fiscal 2025 revenue; manufacturing spans internal U.S., Ireland, and Southeast Asia facilities plus wafer foundries including TSMC. The company had approximately 13,000 engineers as of fiscal 2025.

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