Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) Stock Analysis
Technology · Semiconductors
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $278.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: China (products shipped) (50.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: customers outside United States (60.0%).
Texas Instruments designs and manufactures analog and embedded processing semiconductors, generating $17.68B revenue in 2025 with operations in 30+ countries. Revenue comes from sales to electronics designers and manufacturers globally; ~50% of products ship to China and ~60% of... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $278.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: China (products shipped) (50.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: customers outside United States (60.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 1.50, quality 7.7/10, growth 7.8/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicChina (products shipped)50%10-K Item 1A: 'revenue from products shipped into China represented about 50% of our revenue in 2025'
- HIGHGeographiccustomers outside United States60%10-K Item 1A: 'About 60% of our revenue comes from customers with headquarter locations outside the United States'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-25Item 5.02LOWHagop Kozanian, Senior Vice President of Texas Instruments, announced intention to retire effective August 31, 2026. No reason cited; no successor named.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $278.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: China (products shipped) (50.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: customers outside United States (60.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 1.50, quality 7.7/10, growth 7.8/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $282.07 (+1.5%), stop $258.34 (−7.6%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $282.07 (+1.5% upside). Target $282.07 (+1.5%), stop $258.34 (−7.6%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $258.34.
Concentration risk — Geographic: China (products shipped) (50.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: customers outside United States (60.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Texas Instruments Incorporated trades at a P/E of 48.0 (forward 30.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.0/10. Verdict: Hold.
44 analysts cover TXN with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $275.
What does Texas Instruments Incorporated do?Texas Instruments designs and manufactures analog and embedded processing semiconductors, generating $17.68B revenue in...
Texas Instruments designs and manufactures analog and embedded processing semiconductors, generating $17.68B revenue in 2025 with operations in 30+ countries. Revenue comes from sales to electronics designers and manufacturers globally; ~50% of products ship to China and ~60% of customers are headquartered outside the U.S.