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CRD-BCrawford & CompanySell5.4·$10.22-1.45%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Crawford & Company's Class B shares screen cheap on a PEG basis with strong cash conversion, but a value-trap flag citing a steep revenue decline sits in tension with milder growth data elsewhere in the record, both the momentum and asymmetry gates have failed in a range-bound setup, and three of the last four quarters missed earnings, keeping conviction and position sizing at essentially zero.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Investability FloorStable
  • Attractive Valuation On Peg BasisStable
  • Value Trap Flag With Data DiscrepancyStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Crawford & Company (CRD-B) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance Brokers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.22: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Crawford & Company is a claims management and outsourcing provider operating through four segments — International Operations, Broadspire, North America Loss Adjusting, and Platform Solutions — serving insurance carriers, brokers, and self-insured corporations in more than 70... Read more

$10.22+16.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#10 of 14 Insurance Brokers
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield12.77%
IncomeYield2.86%(5y avg 2.98%)Payout81.94%at-risk
Stop $9.50Target $11.90(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$14.00+37.0%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.22: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Crawford & Company

About Crawford & Company

Crawford & Company generated $1.266 billion in total revenues before reimbursements in 2025 across four geographic segments, split between International Operations at 34.6%, Broadspire at 31.8%, North America Loss Adjusting at 24.1%, and Platform Solutions at 9.5%. The Atlanta-based claims management and outsourcing provider serves insurance carriers, brokers, and self-insured corporations across more than 70 countries, employing approximately 9,943 employees and third-party associates as of December 31, 2025.

Crawford earns fee-based revenue for claims administration, adjusting, and third-party-administration services rather than underwriting risk itself, billing insurance carriers and self-insured entities for referred claim volumes. The Broadspire segment provides workers' compensation, disability, and medical-management services to U.S. corporations, brokers, and insurers, while North America Loss Adjusting and International Operations handle property, casualty, and marine claims across the U.S., Canada, the U.K., Europe, Australia, Asia, and Latin America. Platform Solutions, the smallest segment at 9.5% of revenue, runs Contractor Connection's managed-repair network alongside catastrophe staffing and subrogation recovery services. Demand across all four segments tracks industry-wide claims volumes, which the company says depend on the insurance underwriting cycle, weather events, and how much claims handling insurers choose to outsource rather than manage internally.

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Client concentration varies sharply by segment: two customers in the Platform Solutions segment accounted for more than 10% of that segment's revenue in 2025, following three customers exceeding that threshold in each of 2024 and 2023, making Platform Solutions' growth sensitive to a small client roster even as Crawford discloses no single customer reaches 10% of consolidated revenue. International Operations, at over a third of total revenue, adds currency and cross-border regulatory exposure the company says could disproportionately affect results if claim referral volumes in the U.K., Europe, or Latin America soften relative to the North American business.

See also: Financial Services · Insurance Brokers

From Crawford & Company's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.7
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$521M
EV/EBITDA10.0
Profit Mgn1.4%
ROE10.7%
Rev Growth-0.8%
Beta0.60
Dividend2.86%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
2.1
Value Rank
6.6

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
2.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Net Margin
0.7
Operating Margin
1.3
Gross Margin
1.8
Roa
3.1
Moat
3.1
Roe
3.6
Current Ratio
4.4
Piotroski F
4.4
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 373% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.37Resistance $11.17

Price Targets

$10
$12
A.Upside+16.4%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRD-B stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.22: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.50. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRD-B stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.90 (+16.4% upside). Prior stop was $9.50. Stop-loss: $9.50.

What are the risks of investing in CRD-B?

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is CRD-B overvalued or undervalued?

Crawford & Company trades at a P/E of 29.7 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CRD-B?

11 analysts cover CRD-B with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Crawford & Company do?Crawford & Company is a claims management and outsourcing provider operating through four segments — International...

Crawford & Company is a claims management and outsourcing provider operating through four segments — International Operations, Broadspire, North America Loss Adjusting, and Platform Solutions — serving insurance carriers, brokers, and self-insured corporations in more than 70 countries. The company generated $1.266 billion in total revenues before reimbursements in 2025, billing clients on a fee basis for claims adjusting, third-party administration, and contractor-network services.

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