The stock screens attractively valued at 12.7 times forward earnings with a price-to-growth ratio of 0.27 and roughly 27% upside to analyst targets, but two consecutive recent earnings misses, a business quality score below the minimum acceptable floor, and operations concentrated entirely within California carrying two elevated risk flags offset the valuation discount and keep the near-term fundamental picture fragile despite a favorable risk/reward geometry.
Thesis pillars
- Geographic Concentration Risk→Stable
- Attractive Valuation With Upside→Stable
- Recent Earnings Deterioration→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 2, 2026
California Resources Corporatio (CRC) Stock Analysis
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $54.72: Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Concentration risk — Geographic: California markets.
California Resources Corporation operates as an independent energy and carbon management company in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Oil and Natural Gas, and Carbon Management. It explores, develops, and produces crude oil, oil condensate, natural gas... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $54.72: Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Concentration risk — Geographic: California markets. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — California Resources Corporatio
Latest news
- NEWS FIT-DNA Shows Modest Advantage Over FIT for CRC Screening in Community Health Centers - The American Journal of Managed — The American Journal of Managed Care neutral
- NEWS Automated Text Nudges May Offer Scalable, Low-Cost Path to Closing CRC Screening Gaps - The American Journal of Managed — The American Journal of Managed Care neutral
- NEWS Earnings Preview: California Resources Corporation (CRC) Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS California Resources (CRC) Projected to Post Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS CALIFORNIA RESOURCES ($CRC) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings, Stock Rises - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative positive
Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:39Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicCalifornia10-K Item 1A: 'Our producing properties are located primarily in California, making us vulnerable to risks associated with having operations concentrated in this geographic area'
- HIGHGeographicCalifornia markets10-K Item 1A: 'We sell nearly all of our crude oil production into California markets'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOWMichael Helm appointed VP-Finance and Controller, serving as principal accounting officer, effective March 16, 2026. Previously Berry Corporation Chief Accounting Officer and CFO (2023-2025). No reason cited for predecessor's departure.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $54.72: Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Concentration risk — Geographic: California markets. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $51.24. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $65.54 (+19.8% upside). Prior stop was $51.24. Stop-loss: $51.24.
Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Concentration risk — Geographic: California markets; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).
California Resources Corporatio trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 15.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover CRC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $75.
What does California Resources Corporatio do?California Resources Corporation operates as an independent energy and carbon management company in the United States....
California Resources Corporation operates as an independent energy and carbon management company in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Oil and Natural Gas, and Carbon Management. It explores, develops, and produces crude oil, oil condensate, natural gas liquids and natural gas to california refineries, marketers, and other purchasers. The company also provides Carbon TerraVault which builds, installs, operates, and maintains CO2 capture equipment, transportation assets, and storage facilities. In addition, it owns and operates power generation facilities, as well as smaller gas-fired power plants used to generate power for oil and natural gas operations. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Long Beach, California.