Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $190.44 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas (75.0%).
Atmos Energy is a natural gas-only distributor serving approximately 3.4 million customers in eight states primarily in the South, operating regulated distribution and pipeline/storage segments. Revenue is established by state regulatory authorities and includes purchased gas... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $190.44 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas (75.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicTexas75%10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 75 percent of our consolidated operations are located in the State of Texas.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $190.44 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas (75.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $183.89. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $188.66 (-0.8% upside). Prior stop was $183.89. Stop-loss: $183.89.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas (75.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.2% away).
Atmos Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of 24.7 (forward 21.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
19 analysts cover ATO with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $189.
What does Atmos Energy Corporation do?Atmos Energy is a natural gas-only distributor serving approximately 3.4 million customers in eight states primarily in...
Atmos Energy is a natural gas-only distributor serving approximately 3.4 million customers in eight states primarily in the South, operating regulated distribution and pipeline/storage segments. Revenue is established by state regulatory authorities and includes purchased gas cost adjustment mechanisms that largely insulate operating income from gas price fluctuations.