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CONConcentra Group Holdings ParentSell5.9·$27.95-0.66%
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Concentra Group Holdings Parent (CON) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $27.95 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.9% away).

Concentra Group Holdings is the largest US occupational health services provider by locations, with 628 occupational health centers in 41 states and 411 onsite health clinics at employer worksites. Revenue was $2.16B in 2025, with ~61% from workers' compensation insurance... Read more

$27.95-0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#7 of 27 Medical Care Facilities
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.98%
IncomeYield0.89%Payout17.99%sustainable
Stop $26.36Target $27.90(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$31.50+12.7%8 analysts
$27.90our TP
$27.95price
$31.50mean
$36

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $27.95 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.9% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.9% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.7): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.2
P/E (Fwd)16.6
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA13.0
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE47.0%
Rev Growth13.7%
Beta
Dividend0.89%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.23bearish
IV83%elevated
Max Pain$5-82.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.3
52w Position
9.6
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.51Resistance $28.47

Price Targets

$26
$28
A.Upside-0.2%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CON stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $27.95 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.9% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $26.36. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CON stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.90 (-0.2% upside). Prior stop was $26.36. Stop-loss: $26.36.

What are the risks of investing in CON?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.9% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 4.7): -1.5.

Is CON overvalued or undervalued?

Concentra Group Holdings Parent trades at a P/E of 20.2 (forward 16.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CON?

11 analysts cover CON with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Concentra Group Holdings Parent do?Concentra Group Holdings is the largest US occupational health services provider by locations, with 628 occupational...

Concentra Group Holdings is the largest US occupational health services provider by locations, with 628 occupational health centers in 41 states and 411 onsite health clinics at employer worksites. Revenue was $2.16B in 2025, with ~61% from workers' compensation insurance carriers/payors and ~38% from direct employer services.

Related stocks: AVAH (Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc) · THC (Tenet Healthcare Corporation) · UHS (Universal Health Services, Inc.) · ASTH (Astrana Health Inc.) · ARDT (Ardent Health, Inc.)
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