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Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. At $27.14, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Concentration risk — Supplier: programming expenses.

Comcast is a global media and technology company with two businesses: Connectivity & Platforms (broadband, wireless, video, voice under Xfinity, Sky, NOW) and Content & Experiences (NBC, Telemundo, Universal, Peacock, theme parks). On January 2, 2026, Comcast completed the... Read more

$27.14+9.6% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#19 of 40 Telecom Services
Stop $25.79Target $29.76(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$33.07+21.8%22 analysts
$29.76our TP
$27.14price
$33.07mean
$23
$44

Sell if holding. At $27.14, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Concentration risk — Supplier: programming expenses. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val8.5Qual5.3Grw1.9Mom3.1Sent6.1Ins5.0Peer5.0Tech7.6Risk6.25.3OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 65%
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: programming expenses
Thin upside margin: 9.6%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.3
P/E (Fwd)7.1
Mkt Cap$96.6B
EV/EBITDA5.1
Profit Mgn15.0%
ROE20.9%
Rev Growth5.3%
Beta0.79
Dividend4.88%
Rating analysts39

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.81neutral
IV46%normal
Max Pain$18-33.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierprogramming expenses
    10-K Item 1A: 'We expect programming expenses for our video services to continue to be the largest single expense item for our Residential Connectivity & Platforms business'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.8

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.2
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.59Resistance $32.08

Price Targets

$26
$30
A.Upside+9.7%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CMCSA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $27.14, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Concentration risk — Supplier: programming expenses. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $25.79. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CMCSA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.76 (+9.6% upside). Prior stop was $25.79. Stop-loss: $25.79.

What are the risks of investing in CMCSA?

Concentration risk — Supplier: programming expenses; Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is CMCSA overvalued or undervalued?

Comcast Corporation trades at a P/E of 5.3 (forward 7.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CMCSA?

39 analysts cover CMCSA with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $33.

What does Comcast Corporation do?Comcast is a global media and technology company with two businesses: Connectivity & Platforms (broadband, wireless,...

Comcast is a global media and technology company with two businesses: Connectivity & Platforms (broadband, wireless, video, voice under Xfinity, Sky, NOW) and Content & Experiences (NBC, Telemundo, Universal, Peacock, theme parks). On January 2, 2026, Comcast completed the spin-off of Versant Media Group into an independent public company.

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