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SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TIM S.A. trades at an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 10.2x with a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9 and 16% operating margins, but thin upside of only 4.3% and low asymmetry keep new entry unattractive at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Telecom Valuation→Stable
  • Strong Margin Quality Profile→Stable
  • Rising Obv Accumulation↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TIM S.A. (TIMB) Stock Analysis

SellValueQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. At $17.75, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

TIM S.A. engages in the telecommunications sector in Brazil. It offers landline switched telephone services in local, national, and international long-distance modes, as well as personal mobile and multimedia communication services. The company is based in Rio de Janeiro,... Read more

$17.75+14.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#13 of 41 Telecom Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield52.43%
IncomeYield8.85%(5y avg 5.01%)Payout88.19%at-risk
Stop $16.51Analyst target $20.31(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst consensus$23.35+31.5%7 analysts
$20.31Analyst target
$17.75price
$23.35mean
$29

Sell if holding. At $17.75, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Outperforming peers
Margin of safety: 37%
Risks
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.4
P/E (Fwd)8.9
Mkt Cap$8.4B
EV/EBITDA1.8
Profit Mgn15.8%
ROE17.3%
Rev Growth5.5%
Beta0.09
Dividend8.85%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C7.20bearish
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$23+26.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
1.8
Volume
3.7
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.5
Revenue Growth
3.9
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.94Resistance $20.18

Price Targets

$17
$20
A.Upside+14.4%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TIMB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $17.75, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $16.51. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TIMB stock price target?

Analyst target: $20.31 (+14.4% upside). Prior stop was $16.51. Stop-loss: $16.51.

What are the risks of investing in TIMB?

Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

Is TIMB overvalued or undervalued?

TIM S.A. trades at a P/E of 10.4 (forward 8.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TIMB?

18 analysts cover TIMB with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $23.

What does TIM S.A. do?TIM S.A. engages in the telecommunications sector in Brazil. It offers landline switched telephone services in local,...

TIM S.A. engages in the telecommunications sector in Brazil. It offers landline switched telephone services in local, national, and international long-distance modes, as well as personal mobile and multimedia communication services. The company is based in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. TIM S.A. is a subsidiary of TIM Brasil Serviços e Participações S.A.

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