Value
9.0/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 10.0 |
| P/S | 9.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.9 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.8 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 6.5x
- ▸Attractively valued
CMCSA · Why this verdict
Why Comcast (CMCSA) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.5/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 7.0 |
| ROA | 3.0 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 5.3 |
| Net margin | 7.5 |
| Current ratio | 3.5 |
| FCF quality | 1.7 |
| Moat | 6.9 |
| Rule of 40 | 3.0 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Strong margins: 15%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 21% FCF/NI
- ▸Rule of 40: 9 (fail)
Growth
1.9/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.8 |
| EPS growth | 0.0 |
Momentum
5.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 7.9 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 2.3 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 6.5 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 8.7 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 32%
Insider
5.1/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.2 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.1/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 7.5 |
| quality rank | 7.6 |
| growth rank | 5.1 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
Technical
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 5.1 |
| support resistance | 4.9 |
| 52w position | 4.9 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.7 |
| days to cover | 8.2 |
| volatility | 6.0 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 2.1 |
| max pain risk | 7.0 |
| beta | 9.1 |
| debt equity | 4.9 |
| news risk | 5.0 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 2.58
- ▸High IV: 67%
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 5.8 |
| dividend safety | 7.0 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 539.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (8)
- MOMENTUM:5.1>=4.5
- ASYMMETRY:3.4>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:39d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (2)
- MOMENTUM:5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=5.1>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
3.40
Upside
+19.0%
Downside
5.6%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 40
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 5.0 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 9.0) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Current asymmetry R:R is 3.40 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.0, Catalyst at 6.8, and Sentiment at 6.6; the weakest are Growth at 1.9, Technical at 5.0, and Peer rank at 5.1. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.40 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.