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TAT&T Inc.Sell5.2·$22.71+0.93%
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AT&T Inc. (T) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $22.71 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

AT&T Inc. ("AT&T," "we" or the "Company") is a holding company incorporated under the laws of the State of Delaware in 1983 and has its principal executive offices at 208 S. Akard St., Dallas, Texas, 75202 (telephone number 210-821-4105). We maintain an internet website at... Read more

$22.71+20.1% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#25 of 40 Telecom Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.66%
IncomeYield4.93%(5y avg 6.29%)Payout36.51%sustainable
Stop $21.65Target $27.27(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.9:1
Analyst target$30.30+33.4%22 analysts
$27.27our TP
$22.71price
$30.30mean
$36

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $22.71 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 19, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and news legal. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-10

Recent Developments — AT&T Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K May 20, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Delaware | | 001-08610 | | 43-1301883 (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | | (Commission File Number) | | (IRS Employer Identification No.) | | ---|---|--- 208 S.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 51%
Risks
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.4
P/E (Fwd)8.8
Mkt Cap$156.3B
EV/EBITDA7.3
Profit Mgn16.9%
ROE18.4%
Rev Growth2.9%
Beta0.40
Dividend4.93%
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.48bearish
IV46%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.2

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.2
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.7
Capitulation risk (RSI 19, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)NEWS LEGALA.R:R 3.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
19 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $22.32Resistance $25.55

Price Targets

$22
$27
A.Upside+20.1%
A.R:R3.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! NEWS:LEGAL

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is T stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $22.71 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 19, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $21.65. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the T stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.27 (+20.1% upside). Prior stop was $21.65. Stop-loss: $21.65.

What are the risks of investing in T?

Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Weak growth.

Is T overvalued or undervalued?

AT&T Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.4 (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about T?

34 analysts cover T with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $30.

What does AT&T Inc. do?AT&T Inc. ("AT&T," "we" or the "Company") is a holding company incorporated under the laws of the State of Delaware in...

AT&T Inc. ("AT&T," "we" or the "Company") is a holding company incorporated under the laws of the State of Delaware in 1983 and has its principal executive offices at 208 S. Akard St., Dallas, Texas, 75202 (telephone number 210-821-4105). We maintain an internet website at www.att.com.

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