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CIFRCipher Digital Inc.Sell3.7·$24.99+11.31%
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Cipher Digital Inc. (CIFR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.99: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality.

Cipher Digital is transitioning from bitcoin mining to a vertically integrated HPC data center developer, with 4.2 GW of capacity across 10 sites and 600 MW under active construction for hyperscaler tenants in Texas. Revenue is expected primarily from long-term leases with... Read more

$24.99+18.6% A.UpsideScore 3.7/10#33 of 34 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-32.10%
Stop $22.59Target $28.80(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$32.00+28.1%16 analysts
$28.80our TP
$24.99price
$32.00mean
$69

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.99: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Cipher Digital Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202659d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)33.5
Mkt Cap$9.2B
EV/EBITDA79.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-121.7%
Rev Growth-28.8%
Beta3.20
DividendNone
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.92neutral
IV118%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
9.9
Cash-burning: FCF -1405% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 9.5% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Short Interest
1.9
News Risk
3.5
Put Call
7.2
Days To Cover
8.8
High short interest justified: 16%High IV: 118%
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 59d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.62Resistance $28.62

Price Targets

$23
$29
A.Upside+15.2%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (59d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CIFR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.99: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $22.59. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

What is the CIFR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.80 (+18.6% upside). Prior stop was $22.59. Stop-loss: $22.59.

What are the risks of investing in CIFR?

Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is CIFR overvalued or undervalued?

Cipher Digital Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 33.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CIFR?

23 analysts cover CIFR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Cipher Digital Inc. do?Cipher Digital is transitioning from bitcoin mining to a vertically integrated HPC data center developer, with 4.2 GW...

Cipher Digital is transitioning from bitcoin mining to a vertically integrated HPC data center developer, with 4.2 GW of capacity across 10 sites and 600 MW under active construction for hyperscaler tenants in Texas. Revenue is expected primarily from long-term leases with Fluidstack (Google-backstopped) and Amazon at two sites totaling ~300 MW each.

Related stocks: FIS (Fidelity National Information S) · FORTY (Formula Systems (1985) Ltd.) · GDS (GDS Holdings Limited) · INOD (Innodata Inc.) · SAIC (Science Applications Internatio)
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