Value
4.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 3.3 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 33.5x
- ▸PEG: 0.26
CIFR · Why this verdict
Why Cipher Digital (CIFR) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score3.7/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
2.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.0 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 9.9 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 2.5 |
| Piotroski F | 3.3 |
- ▸Cash-burning: FCF -1405% of revenue
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
5.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 0.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -29%
Momentum
4.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.0 |
| MACD | 3.8 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 1.8 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
7.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 5.7 |
| Analyst rating | 8.7 |
| Price target | 8.7 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 32%
Insider
3.0/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 2.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Heavy insider selling — $51,790,220 (0.564% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
0.0/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 0.0 |
| quality rank | 0.0 |
| growth rank | 0.0 |
Technical
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 3.1 |
| support resistance | 3.9 |
| 52w position | 7.0 |
| gap | 4.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
2.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 1.9 |
| days to cover | 8.8 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 7.2 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 0.0 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
| news risk | 4.0 |
- ▸High short interest justified: 16%
- ▸High IV: 112%
Catalyst
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:59d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:4.1<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:1.2<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
1.24
Upside
+18.6%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 3.20>1.3
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Sentiment at 7.7 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:4.1<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 7.7, Growth at 5.0, and Technical at 4.5; the weakest are Peer rank at 0.0, Quality at 2.0, and Risk (lower is worse) at 2.7. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.24 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.