Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Information Technology Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.96 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility tech—toll management, photo enforcement, and title/registration—across US, Australia, Europe, and Canada via Commercial Services (~45%, ~$436M), Government Solutions (~47%, ~$461M), and Parking Solutions (~8%) segments. NYCDOT accounted for... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.96 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerNYCDOT18%10-K Item 1A: 'NYCDOT represented approximately 17.9% and 15.8% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively'
- MEDIUMCustomertop-3 Commercial Services customers35%10-K Item 1A: 'Three of our Commercial Services customers collectively accounted for 34.8%...total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.96 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Prior stop was $14.18. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $21.63 (+44.6% upside). Prior stop was $14.18. Stop-loss: $14.18.
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Negative momentum.
Verra Mobility Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover VRRM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $25.
What does Verra Mobility Corporation do?Verra Mobility provides smart mobility tech—toll management, photo enforcement, and title/registration—across US,...
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility tech—toll management, photo enforcement, and title/registration—across US, Australia, Europe, and Canada via Commercial Services (~45%, ~$436M), Government Solutions (~47%, ~$461M), and Parking Solutions (~8%) segments. NYCDOT accounted for 17.9% of 2025 total revenues.