Verra Mobility trades at $4.98 with a forward P/E of 4.8x and PEG ratio of 0.19, placing it in the attractively valued tier on nearly every metric, while a confirmed death cross, capitulation-level RSI near 18, and 136% implied volatility reflect a stock in acute technical distress that must stabilize before the value thesis can be realized.
Thesis pillars
- Deep Value Multiples→Stable
- Return On Equity Quality→Stable
- Death Cross Capitulation Signal↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge
Technology · Information Technology Services
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.12, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through three segments: Government Solutions (47% of 2025 revenue), Commercial Services (45%), and Parking Solutions (8%). It sells to rental car companies, fleet... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.12, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-30Recent Developments — Verra Mobility Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Verra Mobility (VRRM) Projected to Post Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Deadline Alert: Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) - GlobeNewswire — GlobeNewswire negative
- NEWS VRRM Q1 2026 Earnings: EPS Beats Estimates, Stock Slides Slightly - Weak Earnings Momentum - dars.gov.et — dars.gov.et positive
- NEWS VRRM Q1 2026 Earnings: EPS Beats Estimates, Stock Slides Slightly - Product Revenue Analysis - dars.gov.et — dars.gov.et positive
- NEWS VRRM Q1 2026 Earnings: EPS Beats Estimates, Stock Slides Slightly - Adjusted Earnings Analysis - dars.gov.et — dars.gov.et positive
Generated 2026-07-30T23:08:44Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerNYCDOT18%10-K Item 1A: 'NYCDOT represented approximately 17.9% and 15.8% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
- MEDIUMCustomertop-3 Commercial Services customers35%10-K Item 1A: 'Three of our Commercial Services customers collectively accounted for 34.8% and 36.0% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-01Item 5.02MEDIUMDavid Roberts departed as President and CEO effective May 31, 2026. Jonathan Keyser (age 44, EVP/Chief Transformation Officer since 2025, Chief Legal Officer since Dec 2022) appointed Interim President and CEO. No reason cited for Roberts' departure.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.12, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $8.58 (+67.6%), stop $4.78 (−7.1%), A.R:R 4.5:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $8.58 (+66.8% upside). Target $8.58 (+67.6%), stop $4.78 (−7.1%), A.R:R 4.5:1. Stop-loss: $4.78.
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Weak growth.
Verra Mobility Corporation trades at a P/E of 5.1 (forward 5.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Hold.
13 analysts cover VRRM with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $10.
What does Verra Mobility Corporation do?Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through...
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through three segments: Government Solutions (47% of 2025 revenue), Commercial Services (45%), and Parking Solutions (8%). It sells to rental car companies, fleet operators, and government agencies in the U.S., Australia, Europe, and Canada, with 1,901 employees at December 31, 2025.