Verra Mobility trades at $4.98 with a forward P/E of 4.8x and PEG ratio of 0.19, placing it in the attractively valued tier on nearly every metric, while a confirmed death cross, capitulation-level RSI near 18, and 136% implied volatility reflect a stock in acute technical distress that must stabilize before the value thesis can be realized.
Thesis pillars
- Deep Value Multiples→Stable
- Return On Equity Quality→Stable
- Death Cross Capitulation Signal↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026
Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge
Technology · Information Technology Services
Wait for pullback to $2.98. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $3.14. Engine's entry $2.98 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5.
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through three segments: Government Solutions (47% of 2025 revenue), Commercial Services (45%), and Parking Solutions (8%). It sells to rental car companies, fleet... Read more
Wait for pullback to $2.98. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $3.14. Engine's entry $2.98 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Verra Mobility Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Verra Mobility stock surges 25% on Avis Budget deal - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS Verra Mobility: New Avis Contract Is Better Than Nothing; It Should Help The Shares (VRRM) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) Shares Gap Up - Time to Buy? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) Shares Gap Up - Time to Buy? - marketbeat.com — marketbeat.com positive
- NEWS Levi & Korsinsky Reminds Verra Mobility Investors of the Pending Class Action Lawsuit With a Lead Plaintiff Deadline of — PR Newswire negative
Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:52Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerNYCDOT18%10-K Item 1A: 'NYCDOT represented approximately 17.9% and 15.8% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
- MEDIUMCustomertop-3 Commercial Services customers35%10-K Item 1A: 'Three of our Commercial Services customers collectively accounted for 34.8% and 36.0% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-01Item 5.02MEDIUMDavid Roberts departed as President and CEO effective May 31, 2026. Jonathan Keyser (age 44, EVP/Chief Transformation Officer since 2025, Chief Legal Officer since Dec 2022) appointed Interim President and CEO. No reason cited for Roberts' departure.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $2.98. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $3.14. Engine's entry $2.98 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $5.57 (+77.4%), stop $2.77 (−13.4%), A.R:R 5.2:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $5.57 (+77.3% upside). Target $5.57 (+77.4%), stop $2.77 (−13.4%), A.R:R 5.2:1. Stop-loss: $2.77.
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -22.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Verra Mobility Corporation trades at a P/E of 11.6 (forward 3.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
13 analysts cover VRRM with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $6.
What does Verra Mobility Corporation do?Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through...
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through three segments: Government Solutions (47% of 2025 revenue), Commercial Services (45%), and Parking Solutions (8%). It sells to rental car companies, fleet operators, and government agencies in the U.S., Australia, Europe, and Canada, with 1,901 employees at December 31, 2025.