Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) Stock Analysis
Technology · Information Technology Services
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: NYCDOT (17.9%); Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 Commercial Services customers (34.8%).
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology—toll/violations management, photo enforcement, and commercial parking—through three segments: Commercial Services ($435.8M, 45% of 2025 revenue), Government Solutions ($460.7M, 47%), and Parking Solutions ($82.6M, 8%). Customers... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: NYCDOT (17.9%); Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 Commercial Services customers (34.8%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $0.71B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-14Recent Developments — Verra Mobility Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Verra Mobility (VRRM) Projected to Post Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Earnings call transcript: Verra Mobility Q1 2026 beats EPS forecast, stock rises By Investing.com - Investing.com India — Investing.com India positive
- NEWS Earnings call transcript: Verra Mobility Q1 2026 beats EPS forecast, stock rises - Investing.com UK — Investing.com UK positive
- NEWS Verra Mobility Corporation 2026 Q1 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:VRRM) 2026-05-06 - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) Posts Q1 CY2026 Sales In Line With Estimates - StockStory — StockStory positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerNYCDOT18%10-K Item 1A: 'NYCDOT represented approximately 17.9% and 15.8% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
- HIGHCustomertop-3 Commercial Services customers35%10-K Item 1A: 'Three of our Commercial Services customers collectively accounted for 34.8% and 36.0% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: NYCDOT (17.9%); Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 Commercial Services customers (34.8%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $0.71B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $8.45 (+80.9%), stop $4.34 (−7.6%), A.R:R 5.4:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $8.45 (+80.9% upside). Target $8.45 (+80.9%), stop $4.34 (−7.6%), A.R:R 5.4:1. Stop-loss: $4.34.
Concentration risk — Customer: NYCDOT (17.9%); Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 Commercial Services customers (34.8%); Market cap $0.71B below $1B minimum.
Verra Mobility Corporation trades at a P/E of 5.7 (forward 4.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Hold.
13 analysts cover VRRM with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $10.
What does Verra Mobility Corporation do?Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology—toll/violations management, photo enforcement, and commercial...
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology—toll/violations management, photo enforcement, and commercial parking—through three segments: Commercial Services ($435.8M, 45% of 2025 revenue), Government Solutions ($460.7M, 47%), and Parking Solutions ($82.6M, 8%). Customers include large rental car companies, governments, and parking operators across the US, Australia, Europe, and Canada.