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CDNSCadence Design Systems, Inc.Hold5.3·$385.22+0.39%
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Cadence Design Systems, Inc. (CDNS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $385.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier for certain hardware components; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Cadence Design Systems develops EDA software, semiconductor IP, and system design and analysis tools for semiconductor and electronics companies worldwide. Revenue totaled $5,297 million in fiscal 2025, with 91% from product and maintenance licenses and 9% from engineering... Read more

$385.22+6.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#75 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.42%
Stop $358.01Target $408.36(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$385.37+0.0%26 analysts
$408.36our TP
$385.22price
$385.37mean
$275
$440

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $385.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier for certain hardware components; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(5), earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.63)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier for certain hardware components
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)89.2
P/E (Fwd)40.9
Mkt Cap$105.8B
EV/EBITDA53.3
Profit Mgn21.2%
ROE20.7%
Rev Growth18.7%
Beta1.15
DividendNone
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.92neutral
IV56%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'the ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainty between the United States and China, where we conduct business and have derived a substantial percentage of our revenue'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle supplier for certain hardware components
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend on a single supplier or a limited number of suppliers for certain hardware components and contract manufacturers for production of our hardware products'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-12Item 5.02LOW
    Cadence stockholders approved amendment of Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan on May 7, 2026: adds 5,000,000 authorized shares, eliminates fixed April 30, 2030 plan termination date, and modifies certain administration provisions. Board approved amendment February 12, 2026.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-12Item 5.02LOW
    Amendment to November 17, 2025 8-K reporting appointment of Dr. Luc Van den hove as director (effective January 1, 2026). On May 7, 2026, the Board designated Van den hove to the Compensation Committee. No other changes to original filing.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Pe
0.5
Forward Pe
2.7
Peg Ratio
3.3
Analyst Target
4.0
Forward P/E: 40.9xPEG: 3.66Expensive valuation

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.5
Growth Rank
5.8
Quality Rank
7.7
Best-in-class margins
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(5)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $331.56Resistance $416.69

Price Targets

$358
$408
A.Upside+6.0%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CDNS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $385.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier for certain hardware components; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $408.36 (+6.0%), stop $358.01 (−7.6%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CDNS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $408.36 (+6.1% upside). Target $408.36 (+6.0%), stop $358.01 (−7.6%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $358.01.

What are the risks of investing in CDNS?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier for certain hardware components; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.

Is CDNS overvalued or undervalued?

Cadence Design Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 89.2 (forward 40.9). TrendMatrix value score: 2.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CDNS?

32 analysts cover CDNS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $385.

What does Cadence Design Systems, Inc. do?Cadence Design Systems develops EDA software, semiconductor IP, and system design and analysis tools for semiconductor...

Cadence Design Systems develops EDA software, semiconductor IP, and system design and analysis tools for semiconductor and electronics companies worldwide. Revenue totaled $5,297 million in fiscal 2025, with 91% from product and maintenance licenses and 9% from engineering services. Software is licensed primarily through multi-year time-based arrangements, creating recurring revenue.

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