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CDECoeur Mining, Inc.Hold6.7·$14.42
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Revenue growth of 138% year-over-year, operating margins of 31%, and a forward multiple of 9.0x at a PEG of 0.02 present a compelling combination of growth and value with roughly 27% upside to the analyst price target and a favorable risk/reward of approximately 3.9-to-1; the principal risk is a debt-to-equity ratio of 7.4 that amplifies any earnings shortfall, and an elevated put/call ratio of 1.58 signals hedging activity worth monitoring.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Revenue Growth Inflection→Stable
  • Valuation And Analyst Upside→Stable
  • Margin Quality And Financial Health→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026

Full reasoning →

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Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Sector Rotation edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Coeur Mining, founded in 1928, produces gold and silver from five mines in the United States and Mexico — Rochester (Nevada), Kensington (Alaska), Wharf (South Dakota), Palmarejo and Las Chispas (Mexico). Revenue comes entirely from gold and silver sales to banks, traders, and... Read more

$14.42+40.1% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#21 of 44 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.38%
IncomeYield0.28%(5y avg 0.97%)Payout1.71%sustainable
Stop $13.41Analyst target $20.21(−13% haircut)A.R:R 3.8:1
Analyst consensus$23.23+61.1%11 analysts
$20.21Analyst target
$14.42price
$23.23mean
$30

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Value play: 34% MoS with quality 7.6. | News modifier -2 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Coeur Mining, Inc.

About Coeur Mining, Inc.

Coeur Mining, founded in 1928, operates five precious metals mines spanning the United States and Mexico — Las Chispas in Sonora acquired in February 2025, Palmarejo in Chihuahua, Rochester in Nevada, Kensington in Alaska, and Wharf in South Dakota. Gold reached a 2025 high of $4,449 per ounce and silver peaked at $74.84 per ounce, with revenue flowing entirely from gold and silver sales. At year-end 2025, Coeur employed approximately 2,620 people across U.S. and Mexico operations.

Coeur sells gold and silver doré and concentrate to multi-national banks, bullion trading houses, and third-party refiners at prices benchmarked against London Bullion Market Association standards; the 10-K states that the loss of any single refiner, trader, or customer is not expected to materially harm operations given market liquidity. Operating costs are tied to volatile input commodities — fuel, electricity, chemical reagents, explosives, steel, and concrete — that can diverge from metal prices in any given quarter. Mexico generated a significant portion of revenues as of year-end 2025, with foreign exchange risk, VAT recovery timing, and Mexican royalty regimes adding complexity. The Rochester mine completed the POA 11 expansion in 2024, adding a three-stage crushing facility, a new leach pad, and a Merrill-Crowe processing facility. Environmental compliance expenditures in 2026 are expected to range from $18.1 million to $28.1 million, including New Gold assets.

Show full overview

Mexico hosts two of Coeur's five operating mines — Palmarejo in Chihuahua and Las Chispas in Sonora — creating geographic and regulatory concentration in a jurisdiction subject to royalty disputes and permit uncertainty. The 10-K discloses that Coeur is actively pursuing recovery of amounts unduly paid to the Mexican government under a prior royalty agreement covering Palmarejo gold production. An operating permit at Las Chispas is set to expire in November 2026, requiring amendment through a process subject to Mexican regulatory approvals and community consultation; if that amendment is delayed, planned activities at the mine could be restricted.

See also: Basic Materials · Gold

From Coeur Mining, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.3
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$14.8B
EV/EBITDA8.9
Profit Mgn26.8%
ROE12.8%
Rev Growth125.9%
Beta1.37
Dividend0.28%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral
IV95%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 3.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
29 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.12Resistance $18.16

Price Targets

$13
$20
A.Upside+40.1%
A.R:R3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -2: STRONG_BUY_NOW → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CDE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Value play: 34% MoS with quality 7.6. | News modifier -2 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $20.21 (+40.1%), stop $13.41 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.8:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CDE stock price target?

Analyst target: $20.21 (+40.1% upside). Analyst target $20.21 (+40.1%), stop $13.41 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.8:1. Stop-loss: $13.41.

What are the risks of investing in CDE?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is CDE overvalued or undervalued?

Coeur Mining, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.3 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CDE?

16 analysts cover CDE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Coeur Mining, Inc. do?Coeur Mining, founded in 1928, produces gold and silver from five mines in the United States and Mexico — Rochester...

Coeur Mining, founded in 1928, produces gold and silver from five mines in the United States and Mexico — Rochester (Nevada), Kensington (Alaska), Wharf (South Dakota), Palmarejo and Las Chispas (Mexico). Revenue comes entirely from gold and silver sales to banks, traders, and global refiners. The March 2026 acquisition of New Gold Inc. added two Canadian mines.

Related stocks: GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.)
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