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CBLLCeriBell, Inc.Sell5.8·$19.30-2.80%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

CeriBell shows a strong technical breakout, robust growth, and a perfect earnings beat streak, but cash burn keeps quality below the engine's floor and heavy insider selling has tripped the insider gate, arguing for caution despite the momentum.

Thesis pillars

  • Cash Burn Below Quality FloorStable
  • Breakout Momentum With GrowthStable
  • Heavy Insider Selling SignalStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CeriBell, Inc. (CBLL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.30: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

CeriBell has developed the Ceribell System, an FDA-cleared point-of-care EEG platform paired with Clarity, an AI-powered algorithm for detecting seizures and, since a December 2025 clearance, delirium in critically ill patients. The company generated 88% gross margins in fiscal... Read more

$19.30+21.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#26 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-3.91%
Stop $17.92Target $23.37(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$26.86+39.2%7 analysts
$23.37our TP
$19.30price
$26.86mean
$32

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.30: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202628d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Ceribell System
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States sales (100.0%)
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-18.0
Mkt Cap$751M
EV/EBITDA-9.9
Profit Mgn-63.5%
ROE-37.5%
Rev Growth29.3%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV90%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductCeribell System
    10-K Item 1A: 'We expect that revenue from sales of the Ceribell System will continue to account for almost all of our revenue for the foreseeable future.'
  • HIGHGeographicUnited States sales100%
    10-K Item 1A: 'To date, all of our sales have been to customers in the United States.'
  • HIGHSuppliertwo primary contract manufacturers in China
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on two primary contract manufacturers in China and maintain contractors in China who perform monitoring and quality inspection services.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -63.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Current Ratio
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Moat
7.2
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -31% of revenueRule of 40: -2 (fail)
GatesINSIDER 0.27%=MODERATEMomentum 5.6>=5.5A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.07Resistance $20.76

Price Targets

$18
$23
A.Upside+21.1%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 1.5%), Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.12% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CBLL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.30: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $17.92. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CBLL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.37 (+21.3% upside). Prior stop was $17.92. Stop-loss: $17.92.

What are the risks of investing in CBLL?

Concentration risk — Product: Ceribell System; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States sales (100.0%); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is CBLL overvalued or undervalued?

CeriBell, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -18.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CBLL?

14 analysts cover CBLL with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $27.

What does CeriBell, Inc. do?CeriBell has developed the Ceribell System, an FDA-cleared point-of-care EEG platform paired with Clarity, an...

CeriBell has developed the Ceribell System, an FDA-cleared point-of-care EEG platform paired with Clarity, an AI-powered algorithm for detecting seizures and, since a December 2025 clearance, delirium in critically ill patients. The company generated 88% gross margins in fiscal 2025 from a recurring revenue model combining disposable Wearable sales and Clarity/portal subscription fees, has deployed to more than 600 U.S. hospitals, and to date has sold exclusively to customers in the United States. CeriBell relies on two primary contract manufacturers in China for assembly of its disposable Wea

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