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AVRAnteris Technologies Global CorSell6.4·$6.10
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Anteris screens attractively valued with a favorable 2.01 risk/reward setup and improving momentum, but weak business quality - cash burn, a failing Rule of 40 score, a low Piotroski score, and a four-quarter earnings miss streak - argues the cheapness could be a value trap rather than a genuine opportunity.

Thesis pillars

  • Favorable Momentum Asymmetry→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation→Stable
  • Cash Burning Weak Quality→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Anteris Technologies Global Cor (AVR) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.10: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 10.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below-average business quality.

Anteris Technologies is a clinical-stage structural heart company developing the DurAVR THV System, a biomimetic, single-piece transcatheter aortic valve designed to treat aortic stenosis by replicating normal blood flow. More than 130 patients have been implanted worldwide as... Read more

$6.10+95.1% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#4 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-8.61%
Stop $5.67Analyst target $11.90(−15% haircut)A.R:R 10.0:1
Analyst consensus$14.00+129.5%4 analysts
$11.90Analyst target
$6.10price
$14.00mean
$16

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.10: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 10.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Anteris Technologies Global Cor

About Anteris Technologies Global Cor

Anteris Technologies has implanted its DurAVR THV System, a biomimetic single-piece transcatheter aortic valve, in more than 130 patients worldwide as of December 2025, and in November 2025 the FDA granted Investigational Device Exemption approval for a staged enrollment of the first 200 patients in its global pivotal PARADIGM Trial. The trial began enrolling in Denmark in October 2025 after Anteris secured its first European regulatory approval, with North America and Europe together representing the large majority of the roughly $12.4 billion combined 2028 TAVR and valve-in-valve market opportunity FMI projects.

As a development-stage company, Anteris currently generates only small amounts of revenue, insufficient to cover its research, development, and operating costs, and recorded a $94.2 million net loss in 2025 against a $370.5 million accumulated deficit. The DurAVR THV's core technology is ADAPT, a proprietary anti-calcification process that converts bovine pericardial tissue into a single-piece collagen bioscaffold, paired with the balloon-expandable ComASUR delivery system for precise commissural alignment; Anteris owns 47 active patents covering the valve, delivery system, sterilization, and packaging. The company competes against Edwards Lifesciences and Medtronic, the dominant TAVR suppliers, and states that no competitor currently has a single-piece tissue TAVR either commercially available or publicly disclosed in development. Anteris also holds a 30% interest in v2vmedtech, a separate developer of mitral and tricuspid valve-repair devices, funded in part through a 2023 development agreement.

Show full overview

Anteris's near-term value hinges almost entirely on a single clinical readout: the DurAVR THV System is described in the 10-K as the company's lead product, and the filing warns that if development cannot be completed or the device fails to gain approval, it could prevent Anteris from ever achieving profitability, with no other clinical-stage product positioned to offset that outcome. The PARADIGM Trial's initial 200-patient U.S. cohort, still enrolling under a staged FDA IDE, is the gating event for that single-asset bet. Underscoring capital discipline while spending is concentrated on DurAVR, in April 2026 Anteris notified v2vmedtech that it would discontinue further development contributions under their 2023 agreement, triggering a $400,000 break fee and ending Anteris's funding obligations to that side project.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Devices

From Anteris Technologies Global Cor's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202614d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: DurAVR® THV System
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -3.1%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.16% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-5.3
Mkt Cap$594M
EV/EBITDA-3.3
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-74.7%
Rev Growth63.3%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.50bearish
IV83%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelineDurAVR® THV System
    10-K Item 1A: 'our lead product, DurAVR® THV System, is undertaking clinical trials designed to provide the primary clinical evidence'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-29Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Anteris notified v2vmedtech on April 28, 2026 that it would discontinue further development contributions under their April 2023 Contribution and Stock Purchase Agreement, following completion of Stage 1. Anteris owes a $400,000 break fee; v2v may elect to buy back Anteris's equity stake or reduce it to a capped minority position.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-13Item 5.02LOW
    Board appointed Susan Knight (Class I director, Audit and Risk Committee) and Stephen Denaro (Class II director) effective May 11-12, 2026. Routine board expansion, not a departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 14 days

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Current Ratio
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Moat
7.2
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -2281% of revenueRule of 40: -2217 (fail)
GatesINSIDER 0.66%=EXTREMEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.1>=4.5A.R:R 10.0 ≥ 1.5SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
38 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $5.74Resistance $8.00

Price Targets

$6
$12
A.Upside+95.1%
A.R:R10.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -3.1%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.16% of cap)
! Insider activity: 0.66%=extreme

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.10: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 10.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $5.67. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AVR stock price target?

Analyst target: $11.90 (+95.1% upside). Prior stop was $5.67. Stop-loss: $5.67.

What are the risks of investing in AVR?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: DurAVR® THV System; Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -3.1%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.16% of cap).

Is AVR overvalued or undervalued?

Anteris Technologies Global Cor trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AVR?

8 analysts cover AVR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Anteris Technologies Global Cor do?Anteris Technologies is a clinical-stage structural heart company developing the DurAVR THV System, a biomimetic,...

Anteris Technologies is a clinical-stage structural heart company developing the DurAVR THV System, a biomimetic, single-piece transcatheter aortic valve designed to treat aortic stenosis by replicating normal blood flow. More than 130 patients have been implanted worldwide as of December 2025, and the company is running its global pivotal PARADIGM Trial under an FDA Investigational Device Exemption covering an initial 200 patients. Anteris reported a $94.2 million net loss in 2025 against a $370.5 million accumulated deficit.

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