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BXDCBlackstone Digital InfrastructuSell5.5·$16.16
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Blackstone Digital Infrastructure shows 28% analyst upside but sits in a value trap profile: quality is 0.9/10, revenue is down 73.1% YoY, leverage is high and momentum is weak.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Minimum→Stable
  • Value Trap Signals↓Deteriorating
  • Analyst Target Upside→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Blackstone Digital Infrastructu (BXDC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Sector Rotation edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5ValueModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.16: Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality.

Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. is a newly organized company focused on acquiring and owning mission-critical data center assets that power the modern digital economy. BXDC targets newly-constructed, income-generating, stabilized data center properties leased to... Read more

$16.16+26.8% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#9 of 17 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score0 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $15.03Analyst target $20.48(−13% haircut)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst consensus$23.55+45.7%11 analysts
$20.48Analyst target
$16.16price
$23.55mean
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.16: Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 17d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Blackstone Digital Infrastructu

Generated 2026-10-29T11:53:50Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 16, 202617d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-73.1% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -369.1%), High leverage (D/E 4.8)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)33.7
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE—
Rev Growth—
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
0.0
Moat
4.5
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns
GatesMomentum 5.5>=5.5A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 17d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $15.44Resistance $17.82

Price Targets

$15
$20
A.Upside+26.8%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-73.1% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -369.1%), High leverage (D/E 4.8)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-16 (17d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BXDC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.16: Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $15.03. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BXDC stock price target?

Analyst target: $20.48 (+26.8% upside). Prior stop was $15.03. Stop-loss: $15.03.

What are the risks of investing in BXDC?

Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-73.1% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -369.1%), High leverage (D/E 4.8).

Is BXDC overvalued or undervalued?

Blackstone Digital Infrastructu trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 33.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BXDC?

18 analysts cover BXDC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Blackstone Digital Infrastructu do?Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. is a newly organized company focused on acquiring and owning...

Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. is a newly organized company focused on acquiring and owning mission-critical data center assets that power the modern digital economy. BXDC targets newly-constructed, income-generating, stabilized data center properties leased to investment-grade hyperscale tenants on long-term contracts. Our investment strategy is designed to generate stable, long-term cash flows and deliver current income to shareholders, with growth potential through contractual rent escalations and accretive acquisition opportunities. BXDC is externally managed by an affiliate of Blackstone, the world's largest alternative asset manager and the largest financial investor in data center and digital infrastructure assets globally. Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. was incorporated in 2025 in Maryland and is based in New York.

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