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BWXTBWX Technologies, Inc.Sell5.8·$195.48+0.41%
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BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. At $195.48, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 7.2%.

BWX Technologies manufactures precision naval nuclear components, reactor fuel, and medical radioisotopes across two segments: Government Operations (DOE/NNSA Naval Nuclear Propulsion Program) and Commercial Operations (nuclear power utilities, principally Canada, and life... Read more

$195.48+7.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#12 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.93%
IncomeYield0.53%(5y avg 1.13%)Payout27.20%sustainable
Stop $179.91Target $207.30(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$238.27+21.9%12 analysts
$207.30our TP
$195.48price
$238.27mean
$290

Sell if holding. At $195.48, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 7.2%. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About BWX Technologies, Inc.

About BWX Technologies, Inc.

BWX Technologies entered 2026 with $7.261 billion in total backlog — $5.541 billion (76%) in Government Operations and $1.720 billion (24%) in Commercial Operations — and expects to recognize approximately 40% of that revenue by year-end 2026. U.S. Government contracts represented approximately 68% of 2025 total consolidated revenues. The company delivers precision naval nuclear components, reactor fuel, medical radioisotopes, and nuclear services from manufacturing facilities across the U.S. and Canada.

Government Operations revenue flows primarily from long-term fixed-price incentive fee contracts with the DOE/NNSA Naval Nuclear Propulsion Program, under which BWX Technologies has supplied nuclear components since the 1950s. Supplementary revenue comes from joint-venture management and operation of DOE nuclear facilities and environmental remediation sites, with partners including Huntington Ingalls Industries, Amentum Environment & Energy, Bechtel National, and Fluor Federal Services. Commercial Operations revenue depends on the cyclical timing of nuclear power plant maintenance outages and life-extension refurbishments, principally in Canada, where the majority of Ontario plants are expected to require refurbishment. The January 2025 acquisition of Aerojet Ordnance Tennessee from L3Harris expanded advanced-materials capabilities, and the May 2025 acquisition of Kinectrics added nuclear lifecycle services and medical isotope production. In commercial nuclear components, primary competitors include Framatome, Doosan Heavy Industries, Westinghouse Electric Corporation, and Cameco Corporation.

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BWXT Technologies' revenues are materially dependent on Congressional appropriations and DOE funding levels. The 10-K discloses that budget reductions or a government shutdown could produce program delays, production halts, employee furloughs, and non-payment. Counterbalancing this risk, the U.S. Navy's March 2024 30-year shipbuilding plan — with all three procurement profiles indicating sustained or increased nuclear submarine and aircraft carrier procurement — provides long-horizon visibility that supports the company's expectation that naval nuclear component orders will remain a significant portion of backlog for the foreseeable future.

See also: Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

From BWX Technologies, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.2%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)51.8
P/E (Fwd)37.5
Mkt Cap$17.8B
EV/EBITDA41.6
Profit Mgn10.2%
ROE29.0%
Rev Growth26.1%
Beta0.73
Dividend0.53%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.68bullish
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.4
Forward Pe
2.9
Peg Ratio
4.7
Analyst Target
6.0
Ps
6.7
Forward P/E: 37.5xPEG: 1.81
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $179.46Resistance $208.83

Price Targets

$180
$207
A.Upside+6.0%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BWXT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $195.48, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 7.2%. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $179.91. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BWXT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $207.30 (+7.2% upside). Prior stop was $179.91. Stop-loss: $179.91.

What are the risks of investing in BWXT?

Thin upside margin: 7.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Expensive valuation.

Is BWXT overvalued or undervalued?

BWX Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 51.8 (forward 37.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BWXT?

22 analysts cover BWXT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $238.

What does BWX Technologies, Inc. do?BWX Technologies manufactures precision naval nuclear components, reactor fuel, and medical radioisotopes across two...

BWX Technologies manufactures precision naval nuclear components, reactor fuel, and medical radioisotopes across two segments: Government Operations (DOE/NNSA Naval Nuclear Propulsion Program) and Commercial Operations (nuclear power utilities, principally Canada, and life sciences). U.S. Government contracts comprised approximately 68% of 2025 consolidated revenues, with $7.261 billion in backlog at year-end 2025.

Related stocks: EMBJ (Embraer S.A.) · HWM (Howmet Aerospace Inc.) · VVX (V2X, Inc.) · VSEC (VSE Corporation) · HEI-A (Heico Corporation)
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