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BUDAnheuser-Busch Inbev SA SponsorHold6.0·$78.06-0.56%
BUD · Why this verdict

Why Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA Sponsor (BUD) is rated HOLD

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

6.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E6.0
P/S8.6
EV/EBITDA5.1
Fwd P/E7.7
PEG4.7
Analyst target5.0
  • Forward P/E: 16.0x
  • PEG: 1.84

Quality

8.1/10data confidence 71%
ComponentSub-score
Gross margin7.2
Op margin10.0
Net margin5.9
Moat7.2
Piotroski F10.0
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
  • High-quality business

Growth

5.8/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth5.5
EPS growth6.1

Momentum

3.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI7.8
MACD0.0
OBV1.0
MA position6.0
Volume0.0
  • Uptrend pullback (RSI 37) - buy opportunity
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

6.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating7.0
Price target7.6
erm sentiment5.3
  • Light analyst coverage (10.0) — signal dampened

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.0
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.2/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank1.7
quality rank6.3
growth rank8.8
  • Industry growth leader

Technical

8.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger8.9
support resistance9.3
52w position8.5

Risk (lower is worse)

7.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest9.7
days to cover8.1
volatility7.9
put call9.6
implied vol7.0
max pain risk3.0
beta8.3
debt equity6.5
  • Above max pain $62

Catalyst

6.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg5.3
dividend safety7.0
  • Perfect beat streak: 4Q
  • Dividend: 171.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD
Passed (6)
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:3.0<4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:0.7<1.5@spot
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
0.67
Upside
+3.4%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND High quality (8.1) with weak momentum (3.0)

SuitabilityCONSERVATIVE Beta 0.79<0.8, Div 171.0%, Q=8.1

Investment implication

None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: INSIDER:OK. Top dim: Technical at 8.9; weakest: Momentum at 3.0. No conviction either direction.

The strongest dimensions are Technical at 8.9, Quality at 8.1, and Risk (lower is worse) at 7.5; the weakest are Momentum at 3.0, Peer rank at 4.2, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.67 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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