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BMOBank Of MontrealHold5.8·$175.39-2.90%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Four consecutive earnings beats averaging 8% above estimates and a breakout technical setup confirm genuine operational momentum; however, the stock has crossed above its price target with no remaining headroom and an unfavorable risk/reward ratio, making the current setup one for existing holders to maintain rather than a compelling entry point for new capital.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Technical Breakout MomentumDeteriorating
  • Price Above Target No Entry RoomStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bank Of Montreal (BMO) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $175.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Bank of Montreal provides diversified financial services primarily in North America. It operates through Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking; U.S. Banking; Wealth Management; and Capital Markets segments. The company offers checking accounts, savings, money markets and... Read more

$175.39-21.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#7 of 19 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.74%(5y avg 4.16%)Payout50.69%sustainable
Stop $167.45Target $179.20(resistance)A.R:R -4.2:1
Analyst target$161.79-7.8%3 analysts
$179.20our TP
$175.39price
$161.79mean
$142
$179

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $175.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 25, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.5
P/E (Fwd)15.2
Mkt Cap$122.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn28.1%
ROE11.4%
Rev Growth15.8%
Beta1.15
Dividend2.74%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish
IV31%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Vol Acceleration
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MAVolume surge (4.0x avg) on selloff
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R -4.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $171.53Resistance $182.86

Price Targets

$167
$179
A.Upside-21.2%
A.R:R-4.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-21.2% upside)
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-25 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BMO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $175.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $179.20 (+2.2%), stop $167.45 (−4.7%), A.R:R -4.2:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BMO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $179.20 (-21.2% upside). Target $179.20 (+2.2%), stop $167.45 (−4.7%), A.R:R -4.2:1. Stop-loss: $167.45.

What are the risks of investing in BMO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is BMO overvalued or undervalued?

Bank Of Montreal trades at a P/E of 19.5 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BMO?

19 analysts cover BMO with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $162.

What does Bank Of Montreal do?Bank of Montreal provides diversified financial services primarily in North America. It operates through Canadian...

Bank of Montreal provides diversified financial services primarily in North America. It operates through Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking; U.S. Banking; Wealth Management; and Capital Markets segments. The company offers checking accounts, savings, money markets and certificates of deposits, debit cards, overdrafts, digital banking, credit cards, loans, mortgages, investment and retirement options, and other banking services; and commercial banking products and services comprise various of financing options and treasury and payment solutions, as well as risk management products. It also offers investing, banking, and wealth management advisory; digital investing services; financial solutions for individuals, families, and businesses; offers investment management services to institutional, retail, and high net worth investors; and diversified insurance, and wealth and pension de-risking solutions. In addition, the company provides individual life, critical illness and annuity products, as well as segregated funds, and group creditor and travel insurance to customers; debt and equity capital-raising, loan origination and syndication, balance sheet management, treasury management, mergers and acquisitions advice, restructurings and recapitalizations, trade finance, and risk mitigation services, as well as a range of banking and other operating services. Further, the company offers research and access to financial markets for institutional, corporate and retail clients through an integrated suite of sales and trading solutions related to debt, foreign exchange, interest rates, credit, equities, securitization, and commodities; provides new product development and origination services, as well as risk management and advisory services for hedging strategies, including in interest rates, foreign exchange rates and commodities prices; and funding and liquidity management services. Bank of Montreal was founded in 1817 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

Related stocks: JPM (JP Morgan Chase & Co.) · C (Citigroup, Inc.) · BAC (Bank of America Corporation) · WFC (Wells Fargo & Company) · UBS (UBS Group AG Registered)
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