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BMOBank Of MontrealHold5.7·$164.37-0.51%
BMO · Why this verdict

Why Bank Of Montreal (BMO) is rated HOLD

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

6.2/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/E7.2
P/S8.1
Fwd P/E8.3
PEG4.6
Analyst target3.0
  • Forward P/E: 14.1x
  • PEG: 1.86

Quality

5.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE3.8
ROA0.4
Gross margin0.0
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Moat5.4
Piotroski F6.7
  • Strong margins: 28%
  • No competitive moat

Growth

8.2/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth6.5
EPS growth10.0

Momentum

5.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.2
MACD10.0
OBV1.0
MA position9.0
Volume1.4
  • Overbought (RSI 77)
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

4.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target4.0
erm sentiment5.0

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

5.0/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank3.2
quality rank3.4
growth rank8.2
  • Industry growth leader

Technical

4.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger2.1
support resistance0.9
52w position9.8

Risk (lower is worse)

4.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
days to cover5.7
volatility8.0
put call0.0
implied vol5.9
max pain risk3.0
beta6.3
  • Elevated put/call: 2.19
  • Above max pain $65

Catalyst

6.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg5.9
dividend safety4.8
  • Perfect beat streak: 4Q
  • Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD
Passed (7)
  • MOMENTUM:5.1>=4.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:77d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • ASYMMETRY:-2.2=NEGATIVE
Warning (1)
  • MOMENTUM:5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
-2.23
Upside
-20.7%
Downside
9.3%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:5.1>=4.5. Top dim: Growth at 8.2; weakest: Technical at 4.3. No conviction either direction.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 8.2, Value at 6.2, and Catalyst at 6.1; the weakest are Technical at 4.3, Sentiment at 4.7, and Risk (lower is worse) at 4.8. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -2.23 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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