Value
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 5.9 |
| P/S | 7.1 |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.3 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.5 |
| PEG | 8.7 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 13.5x
- ▸PEG: 0.72
- ▸Attractively valued
BKNG · Why this verdict
Why Booking Holdings Inc. Common St (BKNG) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.5/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
8.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROA | 10.0 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 4.2 |
| FCF quality | 7.7 |
| Moat | 7.0 |
| Rule of 40 | 7.2 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong margins: 22%
- ▸Rule of 40: 42 (pass)
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
- ▸High-quality business
Growth
8.3/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 6.6 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 3.5 |
- ▸Overbought bear rally (RSI 71)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
7.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 5.8 |
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
| Price target | 8.9 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 35%
Insider
4.8/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Share-count fallback (no $ value): net -81,020.0 shares
Peer rank
5.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.8 |
| quality rank | 8.0 |
| growth rank | 6.0 |
Technical
3.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 3.1 |
| support resistance | 2.7 |
| 52w position | 4.3 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.3 |
| days to cover | 7.2 |
| volatility | 4.0 |
| put call | 6.6 |
| implied vol | 3.1 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 6.6 |
- ▸High IV: 62%
- ▸Above max pain $100
Catalyst
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 5.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/0M
- ▸Dividend: 97.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.72, quality 8.3/10, growth 8.3/10).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_C2_GARP_WAIT|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLEPassed (5)
- ASYMMETRY:2.5>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:4.3<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
2.53
Upside
+24.5%
Downside
9.7%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The C-path quality+growth combination triggered the STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict: quality 8.3 and growth 8.3 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of 2.53 supporting the read.
The strongest dimensions are Quality at 8.3, Growth at 8.3, and Sentiment at 7.4; the weakest are Technical at 3.4, Momentum at 4.3, and Insider at 4.8. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.53 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.