Buckle is a high-quality, attractively valued specialty retailer with a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak, but a confirmed technical death cross and falling on-balance volume create near-term headwinds that argue for patience before adding exposure.
Thesis pillars
- Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
- High Quality Profitability Metrics→Stable
- Compelling Earnings Growth Valuation→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Apr 1, 2026
Buckle, Inc. (The) (BKE) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Temporary headwind edge
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
Wait for pullback to $43.07. Price sits above the model's entry target of $43.07; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Buckle operates 440 retail stores in 42 states, selling medium to better-priced casual apparel, footwear, and accessories, with denim representing 42.5% of fiscal 2025 net sales. Revenue comes from in-store and online merchandise sales; private label merchandise represents... Read more
Wait for pullback to $43.07. Price sits above the model's entry target of $43.07; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-14.0% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
About Buckle, Inc. (The)
About Buckle, Inc. (The)
Buckle operated 440 retail stores across 42 states at January 31, 2026, with 285 mall-based locations, 67 lifestyle centers, and 85 strip centers, targeting fashion-conscious consumers aged 15 to 30 with casual apparel, footwear, and accessories. Denim represented 42.5% of fiscal 2025 net sales and tops represented 28.9%, with accessories at 10.9%. Private label merchandise — spanning approximately 22 exclusive labels including BKE, Buckle Black, Daytrip, and Departwest — accounted for roughly 47% of net sales.
Buckle's revenue model is transactional, with no franchise or licensing structure. In fiscal 2025, marketing spend totaled $23.2 million, or 1.8% of net sales, deployed through seasonal campaigns and digital programs. Private label merchandise generally earns higher margins than branded goods; shifts in mix between the two directly affect profitability. Axis Denim, which produces private label denim for Buckle, accounted for 20.6% of net sales in fiscal 2025 — the single largest vendor — with no other supplier exceeding 10% of net sales. All distribution flows through a single 240,000-square-foot facility in Kearney, Nebraska, which also houses the online fulfillment and customer service center. The company holds no long-term or exclusive contracts with brand name or private label manufacturers, and competes on customer service and fashion selection against department stores and specialty retailers.
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Buckle's performance is subject to consumer spending cycles. The 10-K identifies political conditions, economic conditions, consumer debt levels, interest rates, inflation, and consumer confidence as factors that influence individual disposable income and, in turn, net sales. The target demographic of 15-to-30-year-olds may be more sensitive to these swings than older cohorts. Additionally, denim's 42.5% share of net sales concentrates the company's revenue on a single fashion category; the 10-K notes that misjudging fashion trends or failing to react appropriately and timely could reduce net sales and profitability.
See also: Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
From Buckle, Inc. (The)'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Buckle, Inc. (The)
Latest news
- NEWS Buckle Number of Employees 2026 | Employee Count & Headcount Data - Revelio Labs — Revelio Labs neutral
- NEWS Buckle Number of Employees 2026 | Employee Count & Headcount Data - reveliolabs.com — reveliolabs.com neutral
- NEWS Buckle Inc. (BKE) Faces Mild Pullback as Retail Sector Pressure Weighs - Triangle Correction - dars.gov.et — dars.gov.et negative
- NEWS Buckle Inc (BKE) Financial Health: Profitability & Balance Sheet Analysis - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Buckle Inc (BKE) Financial Health: Profitability & Balance Sheet Analysis - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com neutral
Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:31Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMProductDenim43%10-K Item 1: 'Denim is a significant contributor to total sales (42.5% of fiscal 2025 net sales)'
- LOWSupplierAxis Denim21%10-K Item 1: 'In fiscal 2025, Axis Denim (which produces private label denim for the Company) accounted for 20.6% of net sales.'
- MEDIUMProductprivate label merchandise47%10-K Item 1A: 'Sales from private label merchandise accounted for approximately 47% of net sales in both fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2024.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-09Item 5.02LOWScott A. Werth appointed Senior Vice President of Stores effective March 31, 2026, promoted internally from VP of Sales and Strategy after nearly 37 years with Buckle. Routine officer appointment; no departure involved. No disagreement cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $43.07. Price sits above the model's entry target of $43.07; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-14.0% upside). Wait for pullback. Analyst target $39.10 reached (−14.0%), stop $40.75 (−11.6%), A.R:R -1.8:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $39.10 reached (−14.0% from $45.46); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $39.10 reached (−14.0%), stop $40.75 (−11.6%), A.R:R -1.8:1. Stop-loss: $40.75.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Weak growth.
Buckle, Inc. (The) trades at a P/E of 10.5 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
9 analysts cover BKE with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $46.
What does Buckle, Inc. (The) do?Buckle operates 440 retail stores in 42 states, selling medium to better-priced casual apparel, footwear, and...
Buckle operates 440 retail stores in 42 states, selling medium to better-priced casual apparel, footwear, and accessories, with denim representing 42.5% of fiscal 2025 net sales. Revenue comes from in-store and online merchandise sales; private label merchandise represents approximately 47% of net sales and earns higher margins than the branded product mix.