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BEPCBrookfield Renewable CorporatioSell5.1·$29.59
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The stock faces a convergence of three structural headwinds — business quality below the minimum acceptable floor, a death-cross technical setup with price below all moving averages, and three earnings misses in the past four quarters — that leave it poorly positioned for near-term recovery despite 8.5% headroom to the resistance target.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Minimum Floor→Stable
  • Death Cross Falling Knife Setup→Stable
  • Persistent Earnings Miss Pattern→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Brookfield Renewable Corporatio (BEPC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $29.59: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).

Brookfield Renewable Corporation owns and operates a portfolio of renewable power and sustainable solution assets. The company's portfolio consists of hydroelectric, wind, utility-scale solar, distributed generation, pumped storage, carbon capture and storage, cogeneration,... Read more

$29.59+10.5% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#7 of 12 Utilities - Renewable
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield18.87%
IncomeYield5.30%(5y avg 4.17%)Payout108.09%at-risk
Stop $28.05Analyst target $32.69(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst consensus$37.57+27.0%7 analysts
$32.69Analyst target
$29.59price
$37.57mean
$43

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $29.59: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Brookfield Renewable Corporatio

Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:50Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-62.3
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA17.2
Profit Mgn-102.3%
ROE-45.5%
Rev Growth13.0%
Beta1.15
Dividend5.30%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV45%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.5
Support Resistance
3.1
52w Position
3.4

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
4.5
Value Rank
5.5

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.8
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 5 daysDividend: 5.3%
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.4>=5.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $28.04Resistance $30.30

Price Targets

$28
$33
A.Upside+10.5%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BEPC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $29.59: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Prior stop was $28.05. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BEPC stock price target?

Analyst target: $32.69 (+10.5% upside). Prior stop was $28.05. Stop-loss: $28.05.

What are the risks of investing in BEPC?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is BEPC overvalued or undervalued?

Brookfield Renewable Corporatio trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -62.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BEPC?

9 analysts cover BEPC with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $38.

What does Brookfield Renewable Corporatio do?Brookfield Renewable Corporation owns and operates a portfolio of renewable power and sustainable solution assets. The...

Brookfield Renewable Corporation owns and operates a portfolio of renewable power and sustainable solution assets. The company's portfolio consists of hydroelectric, wind, utility-scale solar, distributed generation, pumped storage, carbon capture and storage, cogeneration, biomass, and eFuels. Its operations consist of approximately 13,396 megawatts of installed hydroelectric, wind, utility-scale solar, and distributed energy and sustainable solutions capacity across North America, South America, and Europe. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Brookfield Renewable Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.

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