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CWENClearway Energy, Inc.Sell5.4·$38.94+0.08%
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Clearway Energy, Inc. (CWEN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.94 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5).

Clearway Energy is one of the largest U.S. clean energy owners, with approximately 12.9 GW of gross capacity across 27 states including ~10.1 GW of wind, solar, and BESS and ~2.8 GW of dispatchable combustion-based generation. Revenue ($1.43B in 2025) is primarily from long-term... Read more

$38.94+5.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#6 of 10 Utilities - Renewable
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.53%
IncomeYield4.69%(5y avg 5.12%)Payout1797.00%at-risk
Stop $36.34Target $40.91(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$43.73+12.3%11 analysts
$40.91our TP
$38.94price
$43.73mean
$34
$60

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.94 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Clearway Energy, Inc.

About Clearway Energy, Inc.

Clearway Energy generated $1,429 million of total operating revenue in 2025, with the Renewables & Storage segment contributing $1,138 million and Flexible Generation $291 million, across approximately 12.9 GW of gross capacity in 27 states. Renewable energy and storage assets accounted for 98% of 2025 generation; the Renewables & Storage segment's offtake agreements carried a weighted-average remaining duration of approximately 12 years based on CAFD.

SCE and PG&E are the two largest offtake counterparties, representing 22% and 16% of total consolidated revenues in 2025, respectively, reflecting the California-heavy nature of the contracted renewable portfolio. The Flexible Generation segment operates dispatchable combustion-based assets that provide grid reliability services but must procure their own fuel, exposing those assets to natural gas supply and price variability. Growth capital is funded through external debt and equity issuances rather than retained cash, as the company distributes a significant portion of CAFD each quarter. Sponsor CEG (Clearway Energy Group LLC) controls the company through its Class B and Class D stock and supplies asset management, procurement, construction and development pipeline services under a Master Services Agreement; CEG owned 41.38% of Clearway Energy LLC's economic interests at December 31, 2025. The weighted-average Moody's rating of rated offtake counterparties was Baa1 based on rated capacity under contract.

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California utility offtake—where SCE and PG&E are the company's two largest contracted counterparties—poses a material concentration risk: the 10-K notes revenues and cash flows may be materially impaired if either counterparty fails to perform or terminates agreements early. Federal tax legislation enacted July 4, 2025 added new sunset conditions for ITC/PTC qualification, requiring wind and solar facilities commencing construction after July 4, 2026 to be placed in service by December 31, 2027—constraining the CEG-supplied development pipeline and potentially limiting future acquisition opportunities.

See also: Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

From Clearway Energy, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-10
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)389.1
P/E (Fwd)16.8
Mkt Cap$9.3B
EV/EBITDA16.6
Profit Mgn0.6%
ROE-3.5%
Rev Growth18.8%
Beta0.86
Dividend4.69%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.0
Quality Rank
2.8
Growth Rank
4.0
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.35Resistance $41.74

Price Targets

$36
$41
A.Upside+5.1%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CWEN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.94 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $36.34. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CWEN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.91 (+5.1% upside). Prior stop was $36.34. Stop-loss: $36.34.

What are the risks of investing in CWEN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.

Is CWEN overvalued or undervalued?

Clearway Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 389.1 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CWEN?

17 analysts cover CWEN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $44.

What does Clearway Energy, Inc. do?Clearway Energy is one of the largest U.S. clean energy owners, with approximately 12.9 GW of gross capacity across 27...

Clearway Energy is one of the largest U.S. clean energy owners, with approximately 12.9 GW of gross capacity across 27 states including ~10.1 GW of wind, solar, and BESS and ~2.8 GW of dispatchable combustion-based generation. Revenue ($1.43B in 2025) is primarily from long-term offtake agreements with a weighted-average remaining duration of ~12 years; SCE and PG&E were the largest customers at 22% and 16% of total consolidated revenues, respectively. The company is sponsored by Clearway Energy Group LLC (CEG), which controls the Company.

Related stocks: AXIA (AXIA Energia) · RNW (ReNew Energy Global plc) · MWH (SOLV Energy, Inc.) · CWEN-A (Clearway Energy, Inc.) · ENLT (Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.)
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