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CWENClearway Energy, Inc.Sell5.1·$38.40+2.48%
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Clearway Energy, Inc. (CWEN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

Sell if holding. At $38.40, A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: renewable energy and storage assets (98.0%); Concentration risk — Counterparty: CEG.

Clearway Energy owns and operates approximately 12.9 GW of clean energy and flexible generation assets across 27 states, with 98% of 2025 generation attributable to renewable energy and storage. The company generates $1,429 million in annual revenue predominantly from long-term... Read more

$38.40+6.6% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#6 of 10 Utilities - Renewable
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.70%
IncomeYield4.87%(5y avg 5.12%)Payout1797.00%at-risk
Stop $35.87Target $40.91(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$43.73+13.9%11 analysts
$40.91our TP
$38.40price
$43.73mean
$34
$60

Sell if holding. At $38.40, A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: renewable energy and storage assets (98.0%); Concentration risk — Counterparty: CEG. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Clearway Energy, Inc.

About Clearway Energy, Inc.

Clearway Energy generated $1,429 million of total operating revenue in 2025, with the Renewables & Storage segment contributing $1,138 million and Flexible Generation $291 million, across approximately 12.9 GW of gross capacity in 27 states. Renewable energy and storage assets accounted for 98% of 2025 generation; the Renewables & Storage segment's offtake agreements carried a weighted-average remaining duration of approximately 12 years based on CAFD.

SCE and PG&E are the two largest offtake counterparties, representing 22% and 16% of total consolidated revenues in 2025, respectively, reflecting the California-heavy nature of the contracted renewable portfolio. The Flexible Generation segment operates dispatchable combustion-based assets that provide grid reliability services but must procure their own fuel, exposing those assets to natural gas supply and price variability. Growth capital is funded through external debt and equity issuances rather than retained cash, as the company distributes a significant portion of CAFD each quarter. Sponsor CEG (Clearway Energy Group LLC) controls the company through its Class B and Class D stock and supplies asset management, procurement, construction and development pipeline services under a Master Services Agreement; CEG owned 41.38% of Clearway Energy LLC's economic interests at December 31, 2025. The weighted-average Moody's rating of rated offtake counterparties was Baa1 based on rated capacity under contract.

Show full overview

California utility offtake—where SCE and PG&E are the company's two largest contracted counterparties—poses a material concentration risk: the 10-K notes revenues and cash flows may be materially impaired if either counterparty fails to perform or terminates agreements early. Federal tax legislation enacted July 4, 2025 added new sunset conditions for ITC/PTC qualification, requiring wind and solar facilities commencing construction after July 4, 2026 to be placed in service by December 31, 2027—constraining the CEG-supplied development pipeline and potentially limiting future acquisition opportunities.

See also: Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

From Clearway Energy, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: renewable energy and storage assets (98.0%)
Concentration risk — Counterparty: CEG
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)374.7
P/E (Fwd)16.2
Mkt Cap$9.0B
EV/EBITDA16.4
Profit Mgn0.6%
ROE-3.5%
Rev Growth18.8%
Beta0.86
Dividend4.87%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.60bearish
IV122%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerSCE22%
    10-K Item 1A: 'the largest customers...were SCE and PG&E, which represented 22% and 16%, respectively, of total consolidated revenues generated by the Company during the year ended December 31, 2025.'
  • LOWCustomerPG&E16%
    10-K Item 1A: 'the largest customers...were SCE and PG&E, which represented 22% and 16%, respectively, of total consolidated revenues generated by the Company during the year ended December 31, 2025.'
  • HIGHCommodityrenewable energy and storage assets98%
    10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, 98% of the Company's total generation was attributable to renewable energy and storage assets.'
  • HIGHcounterpartyCEG
    10-K Item 1A: 'CEG exercises substantial influence over the Company, and the Company is highly dependent on CEG.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-15Item 5.02MEDIUM
    EVP, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary Kevin P. Malcarney will retire June 1, 2026. Transition services agreement through June 26, 2026; separation benefits include lump-sum of approximately $711,845 plus continued equity vesting. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.0
Quality Rank
2.8
Growth Rank
4.0
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.35Resistance $41.74

Price Targets

$36
$41
A.Upside+6.5%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.9% upside)
! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CWEN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $38.40, A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: renewable energy and storage assets (98.0%); Concentration risk — Counterparty: CEG. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $35.87. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CWEN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.91 (+6.6% upside). Prior stop was $35.87. Stop-loss: $35.87.

What are the risks of investing in CWEN?

Concentration risk — Commodity: renewable energy and storage assets (98.0%); Concentration risk — Counterparty: CEG; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CWEN overvalued or undervalued?

Clearway Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 374.7 (forward 16.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CWEN?

17 analysts cover CWEN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $44.

What does Clearway Energy, Inc. do?Clearway Energy owns and operates approximately 12.9 GW of clean energy and flexible generation assets across 27...

Clearway Energy owns and operates approximately 12.9 GW of clean energy and flexible generation assets across 27 states, with 98% of 2025 generation attributable to renewable energy and storage. The company generates $1,429 million in annual revenue predominantly from long-term offtake contracts with investment-grade utilities, including SCE and PG&E as its two largest customers.

Related stocks: AXIA (AXIA Energia) · RNW (ReNew Energy Global plc) · MWH (SOLV Energy, Inc.) · CWEN-A (Clearway Energy, Inc.) · ENLT (Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.)
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