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MWHSOLV Energy, Inc.Sell6.6·$28.45-1.52%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

SOLV Energy delivers 66% revenue growth in renewable utilities and commands a 50% analyst upside consensus, but quality metrics fall below the minimum acceptable threshold and a high debt burden with negative free cash flow create meaningful balance sheet risk.

Thesis pillars

  • High Growth Renewable ExposureStable
  • High Analyst Upside ConvictionImproving
  • Quality Floor Breach Balance SheetDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

SOLV Energy, Inc. (MWH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.45: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.6/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality.

SOLV Energy provides engineering, procurement, construction, and operations & maintenance services for utility-scale solar and battery storage projects in the United States, with over 500 power plants constructed representing more than 21 GWdc of generating capacity since... Read more

$28.45+38.7% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#1 of 11 Utilities - Renewable
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
Stop $26.36Target $39.31(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$45.18+58.8%11 analysts
$39.31our TP
$28.45price
$45.18mean
$55

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.45: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.6/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-22
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (73.0%)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)48.9
P/E (Fwd)15.7
Mkt Cap$5.7B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn3.8%
ROE
Rev Growth77.5%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV74%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop 10 customers73%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our 10 largest customers accounted for approximately 73% of our consolidated revenues as of December 31, 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-12Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Erik Johnson, Chief Strategy Officer, resigned effective May 11, 2026 and transitioned to a non-executive employee role through end of 2026. No successor named for the CSO role. No reason cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
1.9
Operating Margin
3.2
Current Ratio
4.3
Moat
6.5
Piotroski F
6.7
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $23.83Resistance $33.36

Price Targets

$26
$39
A.Upside+38.7%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MWH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.45: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.6/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $26.36. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MWH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.31 (+38.7% upside). Prior stop was $26.36. Stop-loss: $26.36.

What are the risks of investing in MWH?

Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (73.0%); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is MWH overvalued or undervalued?

SOLV Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 48.9 (forward 15.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MWH?

15 analysts cover MWH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $45.

What does SOLV Energy, Inc. do?SOLV Energy provides engineering, procurement, construction, and operations & maintenance services for utility-scale...

SOLV Energy provides engineering, procurement, construction, and operations & maintenance services for utility-scale solar and battery storage projects in the United States, with over 500 power plants constructed representing more than 21 GWdc of generating capacity since founding in 2008. The company earns revenue through lump-sum EPC contracts and long-term O&M agreements, with an $8.0 billion backlog at December 31, 2025 (93% EPC, 7% O&M).

Related stocks: CWEN (Clearway Energy, Inc.) · NRGV (Energy Vault Holdings, Inc.) · RNW (ReNew Energy Global plc) · FRVO (Fervo Energy Company) · ENLT (Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.)
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