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MWHSOLV Energy, Inc.Sell5.7·$31.70-0.60%
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SOLV Energy, Inc. (MWH) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $31.70: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

SOLV Energy (MWH) is a utility-scale solar and battery storage EPC and O&M services provider, ranked #2 U.S. solar contractor by ENR. Has constructed 500+ power plants (21 GWdc) and manages O&M for 150 plants; $8.0B backlog as of Dec 31, 2025. Revenue comes from lump-sum EPC... Read more

$31.70+32.5% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#4 of 10 Utilities - Renewable
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield
Stop $29.53Target $42.08(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$48.36+52.6%11 analysts
$42.08our TP
$31.70price
$48.36mean
$55

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $31.70: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (73.0%)
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.6), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)50.4
P/E (Fwd)19.6
Mkt Cap$6.7B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn4.6%
ROE
Rev Growth65.9%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop 10 customers73%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our 10 largest customers accounted for approximately 73% of our consolidated revenues as of December 31, 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-12Item 1.01LOW
    SOLV Energy completed its IPO on February 10, 2026, entering into Underwriting Agreement, Tax Receivable Agreement, Registration Rights Agreement, and A&R Opco LLC Agreement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
2.3
Current Ratio
4.2
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $29.71Resistance $44.35

Price Targets

$30
$42
A.Upside+32.7%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.6), Negative free cash flow
! momentum at 1.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for MWH.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MWH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $31.70: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $29.53. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MWH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $42.08 (+32.5% upside). Prior stop was $29.53. Stop-loss: $29.53.

What are the risks of investing in MWH?

Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (73.0%); Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.6), Negative free cash flow.

Is MWH overvalued or undervalued?

SOLV Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 50.4 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MWH?

15 analysts cover MWH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $48.

What does SOLV Energy, Inc. do?SOLV Energy (MWH) is a utility-scale solar and battery storage EPC and O&M services provider, ranked #2 U.S. solar...

SOLV Energy (MWH) is a utility-scale solar and battery storage EPC and O&M services provider, ranked #2 U.S. solar contractor by ENR. Has constructed 500+ power plants (21 GWdc) and manages O&M for 150 plants; $8.0B backlog as of Dec 31, 2025. Revenue comes from lump-sum EPC contracts and multi-year O&M fixed-fee agreements.

Related stocks: AXIA (AXIA Energia) · RNW (ReNew Energy Global plc) · CWEN-A (Clearway Energy, Inc.) · CWEN (Clearway Energy, Inc.) · ENLT (Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.)
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