AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Sell if holding. At $3602.65, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 5.0%.
We began operations in 1979 and at August 30, 2025, operated 6,627 stores in the United States ("U.S."), 883 stores in Mexico and 147 stores in Brazil. Each store carries an extensive product line for cars, sport utility vehicles, vans and light duty trucks, including new and... Read more
Sell if holding. At $3602.65, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 5.0%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $3602.65, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 5.0%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Prior stop was $3434.98. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $3784.27 (+5.0% upside). Prior stop was $3434.98. Stop-loss: $3434.98.
Thin upside margin: 5.0%; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak growth.
AutoZone, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.0 (forward 21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
32 analysts cover AZO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $4205.
What does AutoZone, Inc. do?We began operations in 1979 and at August 30, 2025, operated 6,627 stores in the United States ("U.S."), 883 stores in...
We began operations in 1979 and at August 30, 2025, operated 6,627 stores in the United States ("U.S."), 883 stores in Mexico and 147 stores in Brazil. Each store carries an extensive product line for cars, sport utility vehicles, vans and light duty trucks, including new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories and non-automotive products. At August 30, 2025, in 6,098 of our domestic stores as well as the vast majority of our stores in Mexico and