Value
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 6.1 |
| P/S | 8.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 7.1 |
| PEG | 5.4 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 17.8x
- ▸PEG: 1.41
AZO · Why this verdict
Why AutoZone (AZO) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROA | 7.6 |
| Gross margin | 6.4 |
| Op margin | 7.6 |
| Net margin | 6.2 |
| Current ratio | 3.6 |
| Moat | 6.4 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
4.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.6 |
| EPS growth | 3.5 |
Momentum
4.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 9.1 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
8.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 7.5 |
| Analyst rating | 9.0 |
| Price target | 8.4 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.50 (n=1)
- ▸Analyst upside: 28%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Negligible insider buying — $318,919 (0.001% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.3/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.4 |
| quality rank | 7.5 |
| growth rank | 5.2 |
Technical
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.0 |
| support resistance | 7.4 |
| 52w position | 4.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.7 |
| days to cover | 9.5 |
| volatility | 3.2 |
| put call | 0.3 |
| implied vol | 3.3 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 1.96
- ▸Above max pain $2260
Catalyst
4.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 2.2 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (8)
- MOMENTUM:4.7>=4.5
- ASYMMETRY:2.1>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_BOOST:ANALYST:0.50
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:106d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (1)
- MOMENTUM:4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
2.06
Upside
+15.3%
Downside
7.4%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFALLING_KNIFE — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.2 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Sentiment at 8.3) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 2.06 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 8.3, Quality at 6.5, and Value at 6.4; the weakest are Growth at 4.0, Catalyst at 4.1, and Momentum at 4.7. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.06 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.