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AUGOAura Minerals Inc.Hold6.7·$66.28+8.86%
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Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $66.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Aura Minerals Inc., a gold and copper production company, focuses on the development and operation of gold and base metal projects in the Americas. It operates through The Minosa Mine, The Apoena Mine, the Aranzazu Mine, The Almas Mine, and The Borborema Mine and the Serra... Read more

$66.28+39.5% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#19 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.09%
IncomeYield3.70%(5y avg 4.92%)Payout166.96%at-risk
Stop $61.70Target $92.55(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$106.38+60.5%9 analysts
$92.55our TP
$66.28price
$106.38mean
$125

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $66.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.9/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on materials cycle peak fwd=4.5x,ratio=0.08x. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)54.4
P/E (Fwd)4.5
Mkt Cap$5.1B
EV/EBITDA7.6
Profit Mgn7.8%
ROE40.3%
Rev Growth136.5%
Beta0.21
Dividend3.70%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV104%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.8
Quality Rank
4.6
Growth Rank
7.4
Superior ROE vs peers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.2
Gap
3.0
Support Resistance
4.8
Bollinger
5.5
Extreme gap up (8.3%) - may pull back
GatesMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=4.5x,ratio=0.08xMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $52.85Resistance $78.66

Price Targets

$62
$93
A.Upside+39.6%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=4.5x,ratio=0.08x

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AUGO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $66.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.9/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $92.55 (+39.6%), stop $61.70 (−7.4%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AUGO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $92.55 (+39.5% upside). Target $92.55 (+39.6%), stop $61.70 (−7.4%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $61.70.

What are the risks of investing in AUGO?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is AUGO overvalued or undervalued?

Aura Minerals Inc. trades at a P/E of 54.4 (forward 4.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AUGO?

13 analysts cover AUGO with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $106.

What does Aura Minerals Inc. do?Aura Minerals Inc., a gold and copper production company, focuses on the development and operation of gold and base...

Aura Minerals Inc., a gold and copper production company, focuses on the development and operation of gold and base metal projects in the Americas. It operates through The Minosa Mine, The Apoena Mine, the Aranzazu Mine, The Almas Mine, and The Borborema Mine and the Serra Grande Mine Projects segments. The company primarily explores gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Aura Gold Inc. and changed its name to Aura Minerals Inc. in July 2007. The company was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Coconut Grove, Florida.

Related stocks: GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.) · ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.)
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