Value
8.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 2.5 |
| P/S | 7.5 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.6 |
| Fwd P/E | 10.0 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 4.2x
- ▸PEG: 0.00
- ▸Attractively valued
AUGO · Why this verdict
Why Aura Minerals (AUGO) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 10.0 |
| Gross margin | 8.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 3.9 |
| Current ratio | 3.9 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 7.5 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 40%
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 462% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 136% YoY
Momentum
2.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.5 |
| Volume | 6.4 |
- ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
Sentiment
7.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 8.0 |
| Price target | 9.9 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (9.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 88%
Insider
4.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 2.0 |
| insider conviction | 3.2 |
| holder change | 6.6 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸Heavy insider selling — $26,735,118 (0.566% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.0 |
| quality rank | 4.6 |
| growth rank | 7.4 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.9 |
| support resistance | 8.7 |
| 52w position | 0.4 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 5.6 |
| days to cover | 7.4 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 4.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 4.1 |
- ▸High IV: 95%
Catalyst
2.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| dividend safety | 3.5 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.9/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_C2_GARP_WAIT|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1Passed (6)
- ASYMMETRY:4.2>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:54d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:2.4<4.5
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=4.2x,ratio=0.08x
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
4.24
Upside
+63.6%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupOVERSOLD_BOUNCE — Oversold RSI 28, near Bollinger lower, volume surge
EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND — High quality (7.9) with weak momentum (2.4)
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $4.7B<$5B
Investment implication
The C-path quality+growth combination triggered the HOLD_IF_HOLDING verdict: quality 7.9 and growth 10.0 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of 4.24 supporting the read.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Value at 8.1, and Quality at 7.9; the weakest are Momentum at 2.4, Catalyst at 2.7, and Peer rank at 3.5. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 4.24 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.