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SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Anterix is growing revenue about 38% YoY with a 3-of-4 earnings beat streak and a wide moat, but deeply negative operating margins, negative free cash flow and heavy insider selling keep the setup speculative.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Weak Economics→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Revenue Growth Momentum→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Jun 25, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Anterix Inc. (ATEX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5GrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. At $87.95, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.6%; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Anterix is the nation's largest holder of licensed 900 MHz spectrum, covering the contiguous United States, Hawaii, Alaska, and Puerto Rico, which it monetizes through long-term leases and sales to electric utilities and critical infrastructure enterprises for private broadband... Read more

$87.95+8.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#17 of 41 Telecom Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-4.13%
Stop $81.79Analyst target $95.48(−15% haircut)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst consensus$112.33+27.7%3 analysts
$95.48Analyst target
$87.95price
$112.33mean
$130

Sell if holding. At $87.95, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.6%; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 10, 202612d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Outperforming peers
Wide economic moat
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.6%
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -556.6%), Material insider selling (29 sells, 0.91% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.1
P/E (Fwd)42.7
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA-40.0
Profit Mgn933.0%
ROE27.9%
Rev Growth38.1%
Beta0.89
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.28bullish
IV83%elevated
Max Pain$60-31.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomera limited number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'we generally intend to enter into long-term leasing or sales agreements for our spectrum assets in one county with one customer, or a limited number of customers, in each geographic area'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.4
Bollinger
1.1
52w Position
5.6
GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.91%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Momentum 7.2>=5.5No SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $68.06Resistance $88.82

Price Targets

$82
$95
A.Upside+8.6%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Insider activity: 0.91%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-10 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATEX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $87.95, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.6%; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $81.79. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATEX stock price target?

Analyst target: $95.48 (+8.6% upside). Prior stop was $81.79. Stop-loss: $81.79.

What are the risks of investing in ATEX?

Thin upside margin: 8.6%; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -556.6%), Material insider selling (29 sells, 0.91% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is ATEX overvalued or undervalued?

Anterix Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.1 (forward 42.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ATEX?

10 analysts cover ATEX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $112.

What does Anterix Inc. do?Anterix is the nation's largest holder of licensed 900 MHz spectrum, covering the contiguous United States, Hawaii,...

Anterix is the nation's largest holder of licensed 900 MHz spectrum, covering the contiguous United States, Hawaii, Alaska, and Puerto Rico, which it monetizes through long-term leases and sales to electric utilities and critical infrastructure enterprises for private broadband (PLTE) networks. As of March 31, 2026, the company held signed leases with Ameren, Evergy, Xcel Energy, and TECO worth a combined $192.4 million and newer spectrum sale agreements with CPS Energy, Texas-New Mexico Power, and NorthWestern Energy, while expanding into recurring-revenue services through its TowerX tower-ac

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