Skip to main content
ATEXAnterix Inc.Hold6.0·$103.33+2.41%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Anterix combines a strong recent beat history, 41% growth, and a wide moat with an already-reached analyst target, multiple value-trap signals, and a failing Rule of 40 score that together argue for a cautious, reduce-leaning stance.

Thesis pillars

  • Value Trap SignalsStable
  • Earnings Beats And Growth MomentumStable
  • Target Reached Negative AsymmetryStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Anterix Inc. (ATEX) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 3/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $103.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Anterix is the nation's largest holder of licensed 900 MHz spectrum, covering the contiguous United States, Hawaii, Alaska, and Puerto Rico, which it monetizes through long-term leases and sales to electric utilities and critical infrastructure enterprises for private broadband... Read more

$103.33+6.2% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#7 of 45 Telecom Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-1.95%
Stop $96.06Target $109.66(resistance)A.R:R -2.3:1
Analyst target$80.00-22.6%3 analysts
$109.66our TP
$103.33price
$80.00mean
$50
$121

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $103.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 11, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Outperforming peers
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings estimates trending DOWN
Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -535.8%), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.49% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.0
P/E (Fwd)-143.3
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA-47.9
Profit Mgn1394.2%
ROE43.3%
Rev Growth41.0%
Beta0.83
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.94neutral
IV90%elevated
Max Pain$55-46.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomera limited number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'we generally intend to enter into long-term leasing or sales agreements for our spectrum assets in one county with one customer, or a limited number of customers, in each geographic area'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -2.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)INSIDER 0.49%=MODERATEMomentum 4.9>=4.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $61.51Resistance $111.90

Price Targets

$96
$110
A.Upside+6.1%
A.R:R-2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-34.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATEX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $103.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $109.66 (+6.1%), stop $96.06 (−7.6%), A.R:R -2.3:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $109.66 (+6.2% upside). Target $109.66 (+6.1%), stop $96.06 (−7.6%), A.R:R -2.3:1. Stop-loss: $96.06.

What are the risks of investing in ATEX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -535.8%), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.49% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is ATEX overvalued or undervalued?

Anterix Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.0 (forward -143.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ATEX?

9 analysts cover ATEX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $80.

What does Anterix Inc. do?Anterix is the nation's largest holder of licensed 900 MHz spectrum, covering the contiguous United States, Hawaii,...

Anterix is the nation's largest holder of licensed 900 MHz spectrum, covering the contiguous United States, Hawaii, Alaska, and Puerto Rico, which it monetizes through long-term leases and sales to electric utilities and critical infrastructure enterprises for private broadband (PLTE) networks. As of March 31, 2026, the company held signed leases with Ameren, Evergy, Xcel Energy, and TECO worth a combined $192.4 million and newer spectrum sale agreements with CPS Energy, Texas-New Mexico Power, and NorthWestern Energy, while expanding into recurring-revenue services through its TowerX tower-ac

Related stocks: KYIV (Kyivstar Group Ltd.) · TEO (Telecom Argentina SA) · RCI (Rogers Communication, Inc.) · VEON (VEON Ltd.) · TIMB (TIM S.A.)
Home Stocks ATEX

Latest news

No recent news