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TEOTelecom Argentina SASell5.8·$11.09
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Telecom Argentina generates 30% revenue growth with a Rule of 40 score of 41, exceptional free cash flow at 270% of net income, and a Piotroski financial health score of 8 out of 9 at a price-to-earnings growth ratio of 0.03 — but has missed earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters and the stock has already exceeded the analyst price target.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash And Growth Combination→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation At High Growth↑Improving
  • Consecutive Earnings Miss Pattern→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Telecom Argentina SA (TEO) Stock Analysis

SellValueModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Telecom Argentina S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay, Chile and the United States. The company offers mobile telecommunications services, including voice communications, high-speed mobile internet content... Read more

$11.09+34.0% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#10 of 41 Telecom Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield16967.65%
IncomeYield0.37%(5y avg 5.16%)Payout3.27%sustainable
Stop $10.55Analyst target $14.86(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst consensus$17.07+54.0%6 analysts
$14.86Analyst target
$11.09price
$17.07mean
$9
$22

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202610d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Margin of safety: 48%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.7
P/E (Fwd)12.2
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA2.0
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth0.4%
Beta0.34
Dividend0.37%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.6
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
2.2
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
6.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.8
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 10 days
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
30 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.88Resistance $13.55

Price Targets

$11
$15
A.Upside+34.0%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.55. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEO stock price target?

Analyst target: $14.86 (+34.0% upside). Prior stop was $10.55. Stop-loss: $10.55.

What are the risks of investing in TEO?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is TEO overvalued or undervalued?

Telecom Argentina SA trades at a P/E of 8.7 (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TEO?

6 analysts cover TEO with a consensus score of 2.0/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Telecom Argentina SA do?Telecom Argentina S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Argentina, Paraguay,...

Telecom Argentina S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay, Chile and the United States. The company offers mobile telecommunications services, including voice communications, high-speed mobile internet content and applications download, online streaming, and other services; and sells mobile communication devices, such as handsets, modems, MiFi and wingles, and smartwatches. It also offers internet connectivity products, including virtual private network services, traditional internet protocol links, and other products; and programming and other cable television services. In addition, the company provides telephone services, including local, domestic, and international long-distance telephone services, as well as public telephone services; and other related supplementary services, such as call waiting, call forwarding, conference calls, caller ID, voice mail, itemized billing, and maintenance services. Further, it offers infrastructure, interconnection, datacenter, internet, value added, and international long-distance services; and data services, including data transmission, virtual private networks, symmetric internet access, national and international signal transport, and videoconferencing services; Personal Pay, a digital wallet service. The company also offers broadcasting, cable television, financial, cybersecurity, ICT services and audiovisual communication, content platform and related services; security solutions and services; closed-circuit and community closed-circuit television, as well as investment and consulting services. The company was formerly known as Cablevisión S.A. and changed its name to Telecom Argentina S.A. in January 2018. Telecom Argentina S.A. was founded in 1979 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

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