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VEONVEON Ltd.Sell5.5·$87.77
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

VEON offers deep value with a 54% margin of safety, forward price-to-earnings of 6.3x, a 37% return on equity, and analyst consensus implying 56% upside, but high leverage at a 2.9 debt-to-equity ratio, volatile earnings with two recent misses, and an emerging-market telecom risk profile require a patient, value-oriented approach.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Margin Of Safety—
  • Roe Wide Moat Quality→Stable
  • High Leverage Earnings Volatility↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

VEON Ltd. (VEON) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $87.77 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away).

VEON Ltd. provides telecommunications and digital services in Pakistan, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Bangladesh, and Uzbekistan. The company offers mobile telecommunications services under prepaid and postpaid subscriptions, including value-added and call completion services, national... Read more

$87.77-10.8% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#20 of 41 Telecom Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.63%
Stop $81.63Analyst target $78.31(reached)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst consensus$90.02+2.6%8 analysts
$87.77price
$90.02mean
$74
$112

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $87.77 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.8% away)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)111.1
P/E (Fwd)10.5
Mkt Cap$6.0B
EV/EBITDA5.2
Profit Mgn1.2%
ROE7.5%
Rev Growth16.9%
Beta1.61
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.78neutral
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$60-31.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
0.5
52w Position
9.8

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 7 days

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.4
Quality Rank
4.3
Growth Rank
8.7
Industry growth leader
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $73.66Resistance $88.50

Price Targets

A.Upside-10.8%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VEON stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $87.77 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $81.63. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the VEON stock price target?

Analyst target $78.31 reached (−10.8% from $87.77); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $81.63. Stop-loss: $81.63.

What are the risks of investing in VEON?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Is VEON overvalued or undervalued?

VEON Ltd. trades at a P/E of 111.1 (forward 10.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VEON?

10 analysts cover VEON with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $90.

What does VEON Ltd. do?VEON Ltd. provides telecommunications and digital services in Pakistan, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Bangladesh, and...

VEON Ltd. provides telecommunications and digital services in Pakistan, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Bangladesh, and Uzbekistan. The company offers mobile telecommunications services under prepaid and postpaid subscriptions, including value-added and call completion services, national and international roaming services, wireless Internet access, mobile financial services, and mobile bundles; fixed-line telecommunications using fiber optic networks; cross-border transmission services; prepaid scratch cards and electronic recharge options; mobile services on 2G, 3G, and 4G/LTE networks; cloud solutions, including consumer storage apps; local, long-distance, and international voice services; and customer support through contact centers. It also provides FikrFree, a digital insurance marketplace; Tamasha, a video streaming app; ROX, a digital lifestyle brand; Garaj, a cloud platform; ApnaClinic and Helsi digital healthcare platforms; SIMOSA, ZARR, and RYZE lifestyle platforms; Kyivstar TV, a media streaming service; My Kyivstar, a self-service application; Uklon, a ride-hailing and delivery platform; Adwisor, an adtech platform; Simply, a mobile-only neobank; BeeTV, an entertainment platform; Hitter and riitm music streaming platforms; MyBL, Janymda, and Hambi super-apps; AI tutor, an AI-powered learning assistant; Toffee, an infotainment platform; BCloud, a digital infrastructure solution; Beepul, a financial services solution; KINOM, a digital entertainment platform; BeeMarket, an electronics and home appliance marketplace; Hambi Davo, a suite of digital health services; and OQ, a digital platform. The company distributes its products and services through a direct sales force, franchises, third-party retailers, distributors, supermarkets, stores, chains, online, offices, and other channels. The company was formerly known as VimpelCom Ltd. and changed its name to VEON Ltd. in March 2017. VEON Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates.

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