Value
9.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 7.4 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.9 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 12.3x
- ▸PEG: 0.14
- ▸Attractively valued
ATAT · Why this verdict
Why Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite (ATAT) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score7.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
8.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 10.0 |
| Gross margin | 4.8 |
| Op margin | 9.4 |
| Net margin | 8.6 |
| Current ratio | 7.5 |
| FCF quality | 7.2 |
| Moat | 7.5 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 53%
- ▸Strong margins: 17%
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 48% YoY
Momentum
1.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 1.7 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 0.3 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
8.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 8.6 |
| Price target | 9.6 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 52%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
6.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 7.9 |
| quality rank | 5.6 |
| growth rank | 8.8 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.8 |
| support resistance | 7.6 |
| 52w position | 5.6 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.0 |
| days to cover | 9.4 |
| volatility | 2.7 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 1.3 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 9.2 |
| debt equity | 8.5 |
- ▸High IV: 72%
- ▸Above max pain $20
Catalyst
3.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| dividend safety | 5.5 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
- ▸Dividend: 162.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Exceptional fundamentals but wait for better entry timing. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_B_EXCEPTIONAL_WAIT|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1Passed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:4.7>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:78d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:1.7<4.5
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
4.69
Upside
+36.7%
Downside
7.8%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFALLING_KNIFE — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish
EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND — High quality (8.3) with weak momentum (1.7)
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $4.6B<$5B
Investment implication
The HOLD_IF_HOLDING verdict reflects the MOMENTUM gate's 1.7<4.5 outcome against Growth at 10.0 and asymmetric R:R of 4.69.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Value at 9.2, and Quality at 8.3; the weakest are Momentum at 1.7, Catalyst at 3.8, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 4.69 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.